Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 9/11/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Monday, September 11, 2023

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+105) Pittsburgh (-125)

The Washington Nationals (64-78) are on their way to PNC Park on Monday where they will go up against the Pittsburgh Pirates (66-77). The line on this matchup has the Nationals at +105 and the Pirates are coming in at -125. The total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Josiah Gray and Andre Jackson.

The Nationals have compiled 242 doubles as a team and have smacked 130 balls out of the stadium. Washington has a slugging percentage of .395 and have been called out on strikes 1,006 times, while being walked on 368 occasions. As a team, the Washington Nationals are compiling 4.3 runs per outing, which ranks them 21st in MLB. They have 583 runs batted in and 1,237 base knocks on the season, while their team batting average is at .256. They have 615 runs scored while having a team OBP of .316.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.08 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.45. Nationals pitchers have surrendered 219 long balls and also 740 runs in total (27th in MLB). Washington has relinquished 1,310 hits (9.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 693 earned runs. The Nationals have compiled a team ERA of 4.97 this season (27th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,068 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 513 opposing players and their FIP is 5.19 as a team for the season.

Nationals relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 130 times as well as having 148 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 71 holds on the season (20th in MLB). The Nationals relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 60.0% and has entered the game in 136 save situations. They have 39 saves for the year and have missed out on 26 of their 65 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 205 runners for the season and 35.1% of those players earned a run for their team. The Nationals have sent 457 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.

The Nationals have transformed 68.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,289 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 18th in MLB. The Washington Nationals have a total of 3,763 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,323 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .985 which ranks 18th in baseball, and have a total of 138 double plays.

Gray (44-53 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.65 and he has gone up against 3,671 batters in the major leagues. He has given up 888 base knocks (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 276 free passes. His ERA is 4.42 (417 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.369. Gray has pitched in 850 frames and has earned 692 strikeouts in his MLB career.

The Pirates have a team slugging % of .390 and they earn 4.22 runs per contest (23rd in MLB). They have hit 249 two-baggers, while getting a free base 491 times as well as earning 599 runs. Pittsburgh has knocked in 140 home runs on the season to go along with 574 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,251 occasions (11th in the league) and are sitting with 1,115 base hits. The Pittsburgh Pirates are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .313 in addition to a team batting average of .236 this year.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have surrendered 686 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.52 (629 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 152 long balls and they surrender 4.93 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB). The Pirates hold a team WHIP of 1.384 in addition to having a FIP of 4.33 as a unit for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.70 (1,208 strikeouts against 518 walks). They rank 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,216.

Pittsburgh has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 56 save chances and they have recorded 40 saves. They are ranked 4th in the league holding a save percentage of 71.4%, and they have sent 455 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 144 times in high leverage situations and on 140 occasions with base runners. Pittsburgh relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.5% out of their 209 inherited runners. With 131 save situations, the Pirates have accumulated 72 holds and also 16 blown saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 119 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in MLB). The Pirates have recorded 1,190 assists, 81 errors and have 3,761 putouts during this campaign. In their 11,283 innings on the diamond, the Pirates have a efficiency on defense of 68.3% (23rd in professional baseball).

Jackson (4-6 career mark) has a 4.82 earned run average and has given up 9.6 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 1.41 and he has faced 383 hitters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed 45 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.619 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.3. So far in his career, Jackson has conceded 90 hits while he has accumulated 65 K's in 84 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-125)

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