Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, July 1, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (43-37) will compete against the Washington Nationals (32-48) on Saturday. The starting pitchers are MacKenzie Gore and Zack Wheeler.

As a unit, the Washington Nationals are earning 4.2 runs per outing, which is 23rd in MLB. They have tallied 333 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .319. The Nationals have compiled 144 doubles as a squad and have smacked 64 baseballs out of the stadium. They have compiled 318 RBI's and 716 hits on the campaign, and their average at the plate is .261. Washington has a slugging percentage of .395 and have been called out on strikes 562 times, while drawing a walk on 203 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 1.98 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.46. Nationals pitchers have surrendered 107 home runs and 395 total runs (24th in the league). Washington has surrendered 727 hits (9.3 per 9 innings) and 362 earned runs. The Nationals have an earned run average of 4.63 this season (26th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 603 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 304 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.94 as a team on the year.

The Nationals have sent 244 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 116 base runners so far this season and 32.8% of those players crossed home plate. They have compiled 21 saves for the year and have not converted 16 of their 37 save chances. The Nationals relievers have earned a save rate of 56.8% and has entered the game in 76 save situations. The relievers have tallied 39 holds on the year (23rd in MLB). Nationals pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 70 times as well as having 81 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Nationals have converted 68.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,339 innings, which ranks them 21st in pro baseball. The Washington Nationals have notched a total of 2,113 putouts thus far, as well as 744 assists and 50 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which ranks 25th in baseball, and have 78 double plays.

Gore (8-10 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.09 while facing 674 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 151 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 73 free passes. His ERA is 4.16 (72 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.439. Gore has pitched in 155 frames and has totaled 176 strikeouts so far in his career.

The Phillies have a slugging percentage of .417 and they average 4.41 runs per contest (18th in the league). They have hit 147 doubles, while walking 247 times as well as recording 353 runs. Philadelphia has a total of 86 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 337 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 727 occasions (9th in baseball) and are sitting with 705 hits. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with an on-base percentage of .321 and a batting average of .257 this season.

The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.258 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.86 as a staff so far this season. They come in at 10th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 651. The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 360 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 4.16 (326 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.40 (738 strikeouts against 236 walks). They have surrendered 84 dingers and they concede 4.60 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball).

Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 38.8% of 98 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 84 times in high leverage situations and on 64 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 70 save situations, the Phillies have compiled 39 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. They rank 4th in the league holding a save rate of 74.2%, and they have sent 268 relievers onto the diamond this season. Philadelphia has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 31 save chances and they have earned 23 saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 45 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .987 (10th in the majors). The Phillies have recorded 659 assists, 37 errors and have a total of 2,116 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 6,348 innings played, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (17th in the majors).

So far in his career, Wheeler has surrendered 1,148 base knocks while he has totaled 1,295 strikeouts in 1,280 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 490 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.200 and having a FIP of 3.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.34 and he has gone up against 5,323 batters in his career. Wheeler (80-61 mark in his career) holds a 3.45 earned run average while giving up 8.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia

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