Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, July 30, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+210) New York (-250)

The Washington Nationals (43-61) are headed to Citi Field on Sunday where they will compete against the New York Mets (49-54). The moneyline on this contest has Washington at +210 while New York is sitting at -250. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Patrick Corbin and Carlos Carrasco.

Washington has a slugging percentage of .402 and have been called out on strikes 730 times, while drawing a walk on 259 occasions. They have 423 runs batted in and 926 hits this year, while their average at the plate comes in at .261. The Nationals have accrued 184 doubles as a squad and have smacked 93 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 443 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .318. As a team, the Washington Nationals are compiling 4.3 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 22nd in MLB.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.00 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.49. Nationals pitchers have surrendered 147 long balls and 539 total runs (27th in MLB). Washington has surrendered 977 base hits (9.6 per 9 innings) and 502 earned runs. The Nationals are sitting with a team ERA of 4.94 on the year (27th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 774 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 387 opposing hitters and their FIP is 5.08 as a unit on the campaign.

The Nationals relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 57.4% and has entered the game in 96 save situations. The relievers have inherited 154 base runners for the year with 35.1% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Nationals pitchers have entered the game with runners on 94 times as well as having 104 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have sent 323 relievers to the hill for the season. The bullpen are sitting with 49 holds this year (21st in MLB). They have 27 saves so far this season and have missed out on 20 out of their 47 chances to get a save.

The Washington Nationals are sitting with 2,746 putouts this season, in addition to 960 assists and 58 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which ranks 19th in the majors, and they have twisted 104 double plays. The Nationals have turned 67.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,238 innings on the diamond, ranking them 28th in professional baseball.

Corbin (93-114 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.03 and he has faced 7,129 batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 1,751 hits (9.5 hits per nine innings) with 504 walks. His ERA is 4.36 (803 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.360. Corbin has thrown 1,658 innings and has racked up 1,551 K's so far in his career.

The Mets hold a team slugging percentage of .399 and they are scoring 4.42 runs per contest (18th in baseball). They have recorded 137 two-baggers, while getting a free base 342 times and scoring 455 runs. New York has a total of 128 long balls on the campaign and 443 RBIs. They have been rung up on 816 occasions (27th in the league) and have a total of 806 base knocks. The New York Mets have tallied an OBP of .318 and a batting average of .237 for the year.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.349 and have a FIP of 4.64 as a unit over the course of the season. They rank 9th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 835. The New York pitching staff have relinquished 463 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.31 (430 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.80 (878 strikeouts against 377 walks). They have allowed 130 long balls and they concede 4.64 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball).

With 101 save situations, the Mets have accrued 62 holds and 12 blown saves. New York has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 36 save chances and they have earned 24 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 100 times in high leverage situations and also on 94 occasions with base runners. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 29.6% out of their 142 inherited runners. They rank 11th in the league with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 333 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The New York Mets have turned 91 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (18th in the majors). The Mets have recorded 896 assists, 54 errors and are sitting with 2,696 putouts for the year. Out of their 8,088 innings played, the Mets have a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (11th in baseball).

Thus far in his career, Carrasco has allowed 1,461 hits while accumulating 1,557 strikeouts in 1,516 innings pitched. Carrasco (107-89 career win-loss record) has a 3.96 ERA while surrendering 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 667 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.235 and a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.79 and he has faced 6,303 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-250)

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