Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, July 29, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+175) New York (-205)

Citi Field is the site where the New York Mets (48-54) will meet the Washington Nationals (43-60) on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Nationals at +175 and the Mets are sitting at -205. The total has been set at 9. The starting pitchers are Patrick Corbin and Carlos Carrasco.

As a squad, the Washington Nationals are notching 4.3 runs per game, which puts them at 22nd in baseball. They have earned a total of 442 runs and have an OBP of .319. The Nationals have compiled 182 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 92 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 422 runs batted in and 918 hits on the season, and their batting average comes in at .261. Washington has a slugging percentage of .401 and have been rung up 722 times, while drawing a walk on 257 occasions.

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The Nationals are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.93 for the year (27th in the league), and their staff has rung up 768 hitters. Nationals pitchers have conceded 145 home runs and also 534 total runs (27th in MLB). They have walked 382 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 5.07 as a squad so far this season. Washington has allowed 969 base hits (9.6 per 9 innings) and 497 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.01 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.49.

The Nationals bullpen have a save percentage of 57.4% and has entered the game in 96 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 154 runners on the season and 35.1% of those players ended up scoring. Nationals relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 94 times and also have had 104 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have dispatched 320 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The bullpen have a total of 49 holds on the season (21st in baseball). They have earned 27 saves on the season and have blown 20 of 47 save opportunities.

The Nationals have transformed 67.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 8,166 innings, which ranks them 28th in pro baseball. The Washington Nationals have 2,722 putouts so far this season, in addition to 953 assists and 57 errors. Their fielding rate is at .985 which ranks 20th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 103 double plays.

Corbin has pitched in 1,658 frames and has accounted for 1,551 strikeouts thus far in his career. His ERA is 4.36 (803 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.360. He has given up 1,751 base hits (9.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 504 free passes. Corbin (93-114 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.03 and he has faced 7,129 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The New York Mets have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .317 and a batting average of .237 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 810 occasions (26th in the league) and have earned a total of 798 base hits. New York has tallied 126 HRs so far this year as well as 438 runs batted in. The Mets have a slugging percentage of .399 and they are scoring 4.41 runs per game (18th in MLB). They have put up 137 doubles, while taking a walk 337 times and recording 450 runs.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.352 in addition to having a FIP of 4.66 as a pitching staff on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.80 (870 strikeouts vs 375 walks). They are currently ranked 8th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 827. They have given up 129 long balls and they relinquish 4.68 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have given up 462 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 4.34 (429 earned runs yielded).

New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 36 save chances and they have earned 24 saves. They rank 10th in the league with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 331 relief pitchers to the hill this year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 100 times in high leverage situations and also on 94 occasions with runners on base. New York relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.6% of 142 inherited base runners. With 101 save situations, the Mets have 62 holds in addition to 12 blown saves.

The New York Mets have turned 90 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in MLB). The Mets have recorded 886 assists, 54 errors and have earned a total of 2,669 putouts so far this season. In 8,007 innings played, the Mets hold a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (11th in professional baseball).

Carrasco (107-89 career mark) is the owner of a 3.96 ERA while giving up 8.7 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.79 and he has faced 6,303 hitters in his career. He has allowed 667 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.235 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. Thus far in his career, Carrasco has allowed 1,461 hits while he has tallied 1,557 punch outs in 1,516 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Washington (+175)

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