Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, July 28, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+165) New York (-195)

The Washington Nationals (43-59) are traveling to Citi Field on Friday where they will take on the New York Mets (47-54). The moneyline on this matchup has Washington at +165 while New York is coming in at -195. The over/under has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be MacKenzie Gore and Max Scherzer.

Washington owns a slugging percentage of .403 and have been rung up 716 times, while being walked on 253 occasions. They have accounted for 421 runs batted in in addition to 913 hits on the year, and their average at the plate is .261. The Nationals have hit 182 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 92 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 441 runs while having a team OBP of .319. As a squad, the Washington Nationals are scoring 4.3 runs per game, which is 22nd in baseball.

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The Nationals are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.95 this season (27th in the league), and they have rung up 763 hitters. Nationals pitchers have surrendered 145 long balls and 532 total runs (27th in baseball). They have walked 379 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 5.07 as a team for the year. Washington has surrendered 963 hits (9.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 495 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.01 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.49.

Nationals bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 92 times in addition to having 100 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 47 holds on the year (23rd in baseball). The Nationals relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 58.7% and has come into the game in 93 save situations. They have recorded 27 saves this year and have not converted 19 of their 46 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 150 runners over the course of the season and 35.3% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Nationals have dispatched 316 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Washington Nationals have 2,698 putouts for the season, in addition to 950 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which is 20th in baseball, and they have twisted 102 double plays. The Nationals have converted 67.7% of balls in play into outs out of 8,094 innings, which has them sitting 28th in professional baseball.

Gore has pitched in 171 innings and has totaled 194 strikeouts in his MLB career. Gore (10-11 career record) holds a FIP of 4.18 while he has gone up against 744 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.42 (84 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.450. He has surrendered 168 hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 80 free passes.

The New York Mets have an OBP of .317 as well as a team batting average of .237 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 805 instances (27th in the league) and have tallied 792 hits. New York is sitting with 126 HRs on the season as well as 436 runs batted in. The Mets have a team SLG% of .400 and they score 4.44 runs per contest (18th in the league). They have recorded 136 two-baggers, while taking a walk 334 times and notching 448 runs.

The New York pitching staff have relinquished 461 runs on the season while having an ERA of 4.38 (428 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 129 homers and they concede 4.71 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball). The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.355 in addition to having a FIP of 4.67 as a pitching staff so far this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.80 (864 strikeouts against 371 bases on balls). They come in at 8th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 822.

New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.6% of 142 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 99 times in high leverage situations and on 94 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 100 save situations, the Mets have 62 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. They sit at 11th in MLB holding a save percentage of 65.7%, and they have dispatched 329 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the year. New York has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 35 save chances and they have come away with 23 saves.

In 7,926 innings played, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (12th in baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 89 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in MLB). The Mets have recorded 874 assists, 53 errors and have a total of 2,642 putouts so far this season.

So far in his MLB career, Scherzer has allowed 2,272 hits while accumulating 3,307 strikeouts in 2,782 frames. Scherzer (209-106 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.15 ERA while giving up 7.3 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 974 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.078 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.54 and he has faced 11,247 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+165)

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