Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/27/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, July 27, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

The New York Mets (47-53) are welcoming the Washington Nationals (42-59) at Citi Field on Thursday. The pitchers taking the mound will be Josiah Gray and Kodai Senga.

As a squad, the Washington Nationals are scoring 4.3 runs per contest, which has them at 22nd in MLB. They are sitting with 436 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .319. The Nationals have tallied 182 two-baggers as a team and have hit 92 balls out of the park. They have compiled 416 runs batted in and 908 base knocks on the campaign, while their team batting average is sitting at .262. Washington has a slugging % of .405 and have struck out 713 times, while drawing a walk on 248 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.00 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.50. Nationals pitchers have yielded 142 home runs and also 528 total runs (27th in baseball). Washington has given up 957 base hits (9.7 per 9 innings) as well as 491 earned runs. The Nationals hold a team ERA of 4.96 over the course of the season (27th in the league), and their staff has struck out 753 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 377 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 5.06 as a team so far this year.

The Nationals bullpen have a save percentage of 58.7% and has come into the game in 93 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 150 base runners on the season with 35.3% of those players crossed home plate. Nationals pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 92 times and also have had 100 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have sent 313 relievers to the hill for the season. The bullpen have earned 47 holds for the season (22nd in MLB). They have tallied 27 saves this season and have not converted 19 of their 46 save chances.

The Washington Nationals have amassed 2,671 putouts so far this season, as well as 947 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .985 which puts them in 20th in baseball, and have a total of 102 double plays. The Nationals have transformed 67.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,013 innings on the field, which ranks them 28th in MLB.

Gray (16-20 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 5.52 while he has gone up against 1,445 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 310 base hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 150 free passes. His earned run average is 4.59 (169 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.387. Gray has thrown 331 frames and has tallied 328 strikeouts during his MLB career.

New York has accumulated 126 long balls for the year and 435 RBIs. They have recorded 135 doubles, while taking a walk 331 times as well as putting up 447 runs. The New York Mets hold an OBP of .318 as well as a batting average of .238 for the season. The Mets have a team SLG% of .402 and they are recording 4.47 runs per outing (18th in MLB). They have been rung up on 797 occasions (27th in the league) and have notched a total of 788 base hits.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.355 and have a FIP of 4.67 as a pitching staff for the season. They are sitting at 9th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 816. The New York pitching staff have given up 458 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 4.40 (426 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (859 strikeouts against 366 bases on balls). They have conceded 129 HR's and they allow 4.73 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league).

New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 29.6% of 142 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 99 times in high leverage situations and on 94 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 100 save situations, the Mets have compiled 62 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. They sit at 12th in the league with a save percentage of 65.7%, and they have sent 327 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 35 save opportunities and they have tallied 23 saves.

The New York Mets have turned 87 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in baseball). The Mets have accrued 866 assists, 52 errors and have notched a total of 2,618 putouts on the season. In 7,854 innings played, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (13th in baseball).

Senga (7-5 career mark) has earned a 3.27 earned run average and has conceded 6.8 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.50 and he has gone up against 421 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 36 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.263 and having a FIP of 3.8. Thus far in his career, Senga has conceded 75 hits while accumulating 125 K's in 99 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York

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