Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/27/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, April 27, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+160) New York (-190)

The Washington Nationals (8-14) are traveling to Citi Field on Thursday where they will attempt to beat the New York Mets (14-10). The line on this matchup has the Nationals at +160 while the Mets are at -190. The total has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Trevor Williams and Joey Lucchesi.

As a squad, the Washington Nationals are recording 3.7 runs per game, which has them sitting at 27th in the league. They have tallied 81 runs scored while having a team OBP of .319. The Nationals have hit 30 doubles as a team and have smacked 11 baseballs out of the stadium. They have recorded 77 RBI's as well as 187 hits for the year, and their batting average is .250. Washington has a slugging % of .342 and have been called out on strikes 150 times, while drawing a walk on 67 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.11 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.33. Nationals pitchers have conceded 26 home runs and also 96 runs in total (10th in baseball). Washington has conceded 181 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) and 87 earned runs. The Nationals are sitting with a team ERA of 4.06 over the course of the season (12th in the league), and they have struck out 160 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 76 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.69 as a team on the campaign.

The Nationals relievers have earned a save percentage of 66.7% and stepped onto the hill in 20 save situations. The relievers have inherited 32 runners over the course of the season and 28.1% of those players ended up scoring. Nationals relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 19 times and also have had 18 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have dispatched 67 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have earned 11 holds on the season (19th in baseball). They have accumulated 6 saves over the course of the season and have blown 3 of 9 save chances.

The Nationals have turned 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 1,737 innings, which has them sitting 11th in MLB. The Washington Nationals have accounted for 579 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 221 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .982 which is 26th in professional baseball, and have 26 double plays.

Williams has thrown 736 innings and is sitting with 603 strikeouts during his career. His earned run average is 4.24 (347 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.336. He has surrendered 749 base knocks (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 235 free passes. Williams (39-45 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.41 and he has faced 3,155 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The Mets have a team slugging percentage of .385 and they are recording 4.67 runs per game (13th in MLB). They have put up 39 doubles, while walking 101 times as well as notching 112 runs. New York has compiled 26 long balls so far this season to go along with 108 RBIs. They have been rung up on 180 occasions (27th in MLB) and have accounted for 190 base knocks. The New York Mets have compiled a team on-base percentage of .333 in addition to a team batting average of .238 for the season.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.362 and have a FIP of 5.03 as a unit so far this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (204 strikeouts against 97 free passes). They have a ranking of 12th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 189. They have yielded 34 homers and they surrender 4.20 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The New York pitching staff have allowed 98 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.20 (98 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 32 save situations, the Mets have 24 holds and also 1 blown save. New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 8 save opportunities and they have come away with 7 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 25 times in high leverage situations and also on 21 occasions with runners on. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 12.9% of 31 inherited base runners. They rank 3rd in the league with a save rate of 87.5%, and they have sent 79 relievers onto the diamond so far this year.

The New York Mets have gotten 23 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .992 (3rd in professional baseball). The Mets have racked up 204 assists, 7 errors and have accounted for 630 putouts so far this year. In 1,890 innings on the field, the Mets have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 71.4% (8th in MLB).

In his MLB career, Lucchesi has conceded 320 hits while earning 358 strikeouts in 344 frames. He has conceded 159 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.259 and having a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.14 and he has faced 1,447 opposing batters in his career. Lucchesi (20-24 career mark) is the owner of a 4.15 ERA and has allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Washington (+160)

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