Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/17/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Sunday, September 17, 2023
Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI
TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin
Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+195) Milwaukee (-238)
The Milwaukee Brewers (83-64) will try to beat the Washington Nationals (65-83) at American Family Field on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Nationals at +195 while the Brewers are sitting at -238. The betting total is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Patrick Corbin and Brandon Woodruff.
The Nationals have accounted for 252 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 136 baseballs out of the stadium. Washington owns a slugging percentage of .394 and have struck out 1,047 times, while drawing a walk on 381 occasions. As a team, the Washington Nationals are notching 4.3 runs per outing, which is 22nd in baseball. They have tallied 602 runs batted in as well as 1,277 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average is sitting at .254. They have accumulated 634 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .314.
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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.09 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.46. Nationals pitchers have allowed 227 home runs and 768 total runs (26th in the league). Washington has relinquished 1,365 base knocks (9.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 721 earned runs. The Nationals have compiled a team ERA of 4.97 so far this season (27th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,122 hitters. They have walked 536 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 5.17 as a unit so far this season.
The Nationals relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 60.0% and has come into the game in 136 save situations. The relievers have inherited 216 runners for the year with 34.7% of them ended up scoring. Nationals bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 136 times as well as having 149 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have dispatched 474 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The bullpen are sitting with 71 holds for the year (22nd in the league). They have earned 39 saves this year and have blown 26 of their 65 save opportunities.
The Nationals have transformed 68.5% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,739 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 19th in the majors. The Washington Nationals have amassed 3,913 putouts on the year, as well as 1,375 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which has them ranked 19th in the majors, and have 143 double plays.
Corbin has thrown 1,702 innings and has earned 1,585 K's in his MLB career. Corbin (97-116 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.08 and he has faced 7,318 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.39 (830 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.358. He has surrendered 1,795 hits (9.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 518 free passes.
The Milwaukee Brewers have tallied an OBP of .317 and a team batting average of .238 this year. They have struck out on 1,301 instances (12th in the league) and have earned 1,160 hits. Milwaukee has hit 150 home runs for the year as well as 624 runs batted in. The Brewers have a team slugging percentage of .381 and they score 4.46 runs per outing (18th in the league). They have recorded 218 two-baggers, while walking 533 times as well as racking up 655 runs.
The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.183 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.24 as a unit so far this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.90 (1,293 strikeouts against 440 walks). They rank 1st in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,107. They have relinquished 183 homers and they allow 4.15 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 603 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.81 (554 earned runs allowed).
Milwaukee relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.3% out of 153 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 161 times in high leverage situations and also on 112 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 161 save situations, the Brewers have accumulated 93 holds and 23 blown saves. They rank 11th in the league with a save percentage of 65.7%, and they have sent 468 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. Milwaukee has had relievers step onto the hill in 67 save chances and they have walked away with 44 saves.
The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 101 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (12th in pro baseball). The Brewers have recorded 1,269 assists, 71 errors and are sitting with 3,924 putouts over the course of the season. In 11,772 innings on the field, the Brewers hold a defensive efficiency of 71.9% (1st in MLB).
During his MLB career, Woodruff has surrendered 526 base hits and he has 776 K's in 669 frames. Woodruff (46-26 career record) is the owner of a 3.08 earned run average and has allowed 7.1 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 229 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.046 and having a FIP of 3.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.46 and he has gone up against 2,683 batters during his MLB career.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Washington (+195)
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