Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/16/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Saturday, September 16, 2023

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+190) Milwaukee (-230)

American Family Field is the location where the Milwaukee Brewers (82-64) will try to beat the Washington Nationals (65-82) on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has Washington at +190 and Milwaukee opens at -230. The over/under is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Trevor Williams and Corbin Burnes.

As a unit, the Washington Nationals are earning 4.3 runs per outing, which puts them at 22nd in baseball. They have earned 631 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .314. The Nationals have earned 248 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 135 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 599 RBI's in addition to 1,271 base knocks on the campaign, while their batting average sits at .254. Washington is slugging .394 and have struck out 1,040 times, while taking a walk on 379 occasions.

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The Nationals are sitting with a team ERA of 4.97 for the season (27th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,112 batters. Nationals pitchers have given up 224 home runs and 763 total runs (26th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 531 batters and their FIP is 5.15 as a unit on the season. Washington has relinquished 1,358 hits (9.4 per 9 innings) as well as 716 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.09 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.46.

The Nationals bullpen have compiled a save rate of 60.0% and has come into the game in 136 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 216 base runners this season and 34.7% of those players crossed home plate. Nationals relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 136 times as well as having 149 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have sent 470 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen have earned 71 holds so far this season (21st in MLB). They have earned 39 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 26 of 65 save opportunities.

The Nationals have turned 68.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,667 innings on the field, which has them ranked 21st in pro baseball. The Washington Nationals have accumulated 3,889 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,364 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which ranks 19th in MLB, and have earned 142 double plays.

Williams has taken the ball for 854 innings and has earned 696 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.46 (423 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.377. He has given up 896 hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 280 free passes. Williams (44-54 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.67 and he has faced 3,696 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Milwaukee Brewers have earned a team OBP of .317 in addition to a team batting average of .238 this year. They have struck out on 1,291 instances (12th in the league) and have totaled 1,153 hits. Milwaukee has a total of 147 long balls so far this season as well as 619 RBIs. The Brewers hold a team slugging % of .380 and they score 4.45 runs per outing (18th in MLB). They have 218 doubles, while taking a walk 528 times as well as scoring 650 runs.

The Brewers have a team WHIP of 1.185 in addition to having a FIP of 4.24 as a unit so far this season. They are sitting at 1st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,101. The Milwaukee pitching staff have allowed 600 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 3.82 (551 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio is 8.90 (1,286 strikeouts vs 438 walks). They have surrendered 182 long balls and they concede 4.16 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league).

Sitting with 158 save situations, the Brewers have 91 holds and 23 blown saves. Milwaukee has had relievers enter the game in 66 save opportunities and they have come away with 43 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 159 times in high leverage situations and on 111 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee relievers have an inherited score rate of 33.6% out of 152 inherited base runners. They are ranked 12th in MLB holding a save rate of 65.2%, and they have sent 465 relievers to the hill on the season.

In 11,691 innings on the diamond, the Brewers have earned a efficiency on defense of 71.9% (1st in MLB). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 101 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in MLB). The Brewers have accrued 1,261 assists, 71 errors and have a tally of 3,897 putouts for the season.

In his career, Burnes has conceded 530 hits while he has tallied 851 strikeouts in 694 frames. He has given up 253 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.051 and a FIP of 3.1. His K/BB ratio is 4.26 and he has faced 2,804 batters so far in his career. Burnes (44-27 career record) has earned a 3.28 ERA and has allowed 6.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-230)

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