Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/16/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins

Date: Tuesday, May 16, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

loanDepot park is where the Miami Marlins (20-21) will meet the Washington Nationals (17-23) on Tuesday. The expected starting pitchers will be Josiah Gray and Jesus Luzardo.

Washington has a slugging % of .357 and have struck out 280 times, while drawing a walk on 113 occasions. They have accumulated 149 RBI's and 346 base knocks on the campaign, and their batting average sits at .255. The Nationals have hit 52 doubles as a unit and have hit 25 balls out of the park. They are sitting with 156 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .320. As a team, the Washington Nationals are scoring 3.9 runs per contest, which is 26th in baseball.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 1.99 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.42. Nationals pitchers have relinquished 44 long balls and 183 total runs (18th in baseball). Washington has allowed 351 hits (9.0 per 9 innings) and 173 earned runs. The Nationals have an ERA of 4.43 on the year (18th in the league), and the staff has struck out 296 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 149 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.61 as a team this year.

The Nationals relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 55.0% and has entered the game in 37 save situations. The relievers have inherited 65 base runners so far this season with 33.8% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Nationals relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 38 times as well as having 39 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have sent 128 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have notched 17 holds over the course of the season (25th in baseball). They have accumulated 11 saves on the campaign and have not converted 9 out of their 20 chances to get a save.

The Nationals have transformed 68.6% of balls in play into outs in their 3,162 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 18th in professional baseball. The Washington Nationals have accounted for 1,054 putouts on the campaign, as well as 391 assists and 23 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .984 which has them sitting 21st in the majors, and they have turned 40 double plays.

Gray has pitched in 265 innings and has 270 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Gray (12-17 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 5.64 while facing 1,150 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.79 (141 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.355. He has surrendered 241 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 118 walks.

The Marlins hold a team SLG% of .382 and they average 3.44 runs per outing (30th in MLB). They have tallied 64 doubles, while taking a walk 104 times as well as putting up 141 runs. Miami has compiled 37 home runs for the year as well as 134 RBIs. They have struck out on 351 instances (18th in the league) and have accounted for 339 hits. The Miami Marlins are sitting with a team OBP of .304 as well as a team batting average of .247 over the course of the season.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.368 in addition to having a FIP of 4.40 as a staff this year. They are sitting at 23rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 359. The Miami pitching staff have yielded 197 runs on the year while having an ERA of 4.54 (185 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio is 9.30 (381 strikeouts vs 143 walks). They have allowed 52 homers and they yield 4.83 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB).

Miami has had relievers step onto the mound in 17 save chances and they have come away with 11 saves. They are ranked 11th in baseball holding a save percentage of 64.7%, and they have dispatched 144 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season. Their relievers have come in 53 times in high leverage situations and also on 46 occasions with runners on base. Miami relievers have an inherited score percentage of 25.4% out of 71 inherited base runners. Sitting with 37 save situations, the Marlins have accrued 20 holds and 6 blown saves.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 37 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (22nd in pro baseball). The Marlins have 361 assists, 24 errors and are sitting with 1,101 putouts on the season. In 3,303 innings on the field, the Marlins hold a defensive efficiency of 67.5% (24th in MLB).

Luzardo (16-20 record in his career) has a 4.41 ERA and has allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.87 and he has faced 1,326 hitters in his career. He has conceded 153 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.298 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. During his pro baseball career, Luzardo has conceded 286 hits and he has 341 punch outs in 312 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami

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