Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/27/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Wednesday, September 27, 2023

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+195) Baltimore (-238)

The Washington Nationals (69-88) are traveling to Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Wednesday where they will take on the Baltimore Orioles (97-59). The moneyline on this game has Washington at +195 and Baltimore is priced at -238. The total comes in at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Patrick Corbin and Grayson Rodriguez.

As a team, the Washington Nationals are notching 4.3 runs per game, which has them at 22nd in the league. They are sitting with 676 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .314. The Nationals have tallied 270 doubles as a squad and have hit 146 balls out of the park. They have compiled 643 runs batted in in addition to 1,357 hits on the year, and their team batting average is at .254. Washington is slugging .396 and have been called out on strikes 1,111 times, while drawing a walk on 410 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.06 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.46. Nationals pitchers have given up 240 home runs and also 819 runs in total (27th in baseball). Washington has conceded 1,458 base hits (9.5 per 9 innings) as well as 771 earned runs. The Nationals are sitting with a team ERA of 5.01 on the year (27th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,180 hitters. They have walked 572 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 5.18 as a squad on the year.

The Nationals have sent 506 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The relievers have inherited 233 base runners on the year and 34.3% of those runners ended up scoring. They have recorded 41 saves so far this season and have blown 26 out of their 67 save chances. The Nationals relievers have earned a save percentage of 61.2% and has come into the game in 141 save situations. The relievers have notched 74 holds for the year (23rd in MLB). Nationals relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 147 times as well as having 155 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Washington Nationals have amassed 4,159 putouts on the year, as well as 1,466 assists and 86 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which has them sitting 17th in the majors, and they have turned 154 double plays. The Nationals have turned 68.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,477 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 23rd in MLB.

Corbin (97-117 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.09 and he has gone up against 7,358 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 1,804 base knocks (9.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 521 free passes. His earned run average is 4.39 (836 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.357. Corbin has taken the hill for 1,713 frames and has accumulated 1,588 punch outs thus far in his career.

The Orioles hold a team slugging % of .426 and they score 5.08 runs per contest (6th in baseball). They have 303 doubles, while taking a walk 496 times and earning 793 runs. Baltimore has hit 180 HRs on the season as well as 767 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,316 instances (18th in MLB) and have earned 1,368 base hits. The Baltimore Orioles have compiled an OBP of .323 and a team batting average of .257 on the season.

The Orioles have a team WHIP of 1.258 and have a FIP of 4.05 as a squad for the year. They have a ranking of 17th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,299. The Baltimore pitching staff have allowed 666 runs for the season while having an ERA of 4.00 (622 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.80 (1,372 strikeouts vs 461 free passes). They have relinquished 176 long balls and they give up 4.28 runs per 9 innings (8th in MLB).

With 184 save situations, the Orioles have 103 holds in addition to 31 blown saves. Baltimore has had relievers take the mound in 78 save opportunities and they have recorded 47 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 200 times in high leverage situations and also on 192 occasions with runners on base. Baltimore relievers have an inherited score rate of 34.9% out of 281 inherited base runners. They rank 19th in MLB with a save percentage of 60.3%, and they have dispatched 540 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the year.

In 12,597 innings on the field, the Orioles hold a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (15th in professional baseball). The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 137 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (4th in baseball). The Orioles have 1,388 assists, 66 errors and have a tally of 4,199 putouts this season.

In his pro baseball career, Rodriguez has conceded 115 base knocks while accumulating 124 strikeouts in 116 frames. Rodriguez (6-4 record in his career) is the owner of a 4.49 earned run average while allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 58 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.350 and a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.95 and he has gone up against 493 batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Baltimore (-238) and under 7.5 runs

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