Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+230) Atlanta (-290)

Truist Park is the site where the Atlanta Braves (103-56) will attempt to beat the Washington Nationals (69-90) on Saturday. The odds on this game have Washington at +230 while Atlanta opens at -290. The total is set at 9. The men taking the mound will be Joan Adon and Spencer Strider.

Washington owns a slugging percentage of .393 and have struck out 1,128 times, while taking a walk on 412 occasions. They have tallied 644 runs batted in as well as 1,366 hits for the year, while their average at the plate comes in at .253. The Nationals have hit 271 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 146 baseballs out of the park. They have notched a total of 677 runs scored and have an OBP of .313. As a unit, the Washington Nationals are putting up 4.3 runs per game, which puts them at 22nd in the league.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.06 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.46. Nationals pitchers have given up 242 long balls and also 825 total runs (26th in MLB). Washington has relinquished 1,473 hits (9.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 777 earned runs. The Nationals hold a team ERA of 4.99 so far this year (27th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,197 hitters. They have walked 580 opposing hitters and their FIP is 5.16 as a squad so far this season.

The Nationals have dispatched 511 relievers to the mound this season. The relievers have inherited 236 runners over the course of the season with 33.9% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have recorded 41 saves on the season and have blown 26 out of their 67 chances to get a save. The Nationals relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 61.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 141 save situations. The relievers have tallied 74 holds this year (24th in MLB). Nationals relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 148 times and also have had 155 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Nationals have converted 68.4% of balls in play into outs in their 12,621 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 24th in the majors. The Washington Nationals are sitting with 4,207 putouts thus far, as well as 1,484 assists and 86 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .985 which ranks 17th in MLB, and they have turned 156 double plays.

Adon has taken the hill for 117 innings and has earned 107 strikeouts in his career. His earned run average is 6.65 (87 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.700. He has allowed 136 base hits (10.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 64 free passes. Adon (3-16 record in his career) holds a FIP of 5.12 while going up against 554 batters during his time in the majors.

Atlanta has hit 304 home runs so far this season and 897 RBIs. They have 287 doubles, while taking a walk 526 times and scoring 927 runs. The Atlanta Braves hold an OBP of .342 as well as a team batting average of .274 over the course of the season. The Braves have a team SLG% of .501 and they have an average of 5.83 runs per game (1st in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 1,261 instances (26th in MLB) and have recorded 1,504 base knocks.

The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 693 runs on the year while having an ERA of 4.08 (640 earned runs given up). They have surrendered 182 dingers and they concede 4.41 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.294 in addition to having a FIP of 4.07 as a staff for the year. Their K/BB ratio is 9.50 (1,495 strikeouts against 523 bases on balls). They come in at 13th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,305.

Sitting with 173 save situations, the Braves have tallied 98 holds and 23 blown saves. Atlanta has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 74 save opportunities and they have earned 51 saves. Their relievers have come in 164 times in high leverage situations and on 127 occasions with runners on. Atlanta relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.3% out of their 185 inherited base runners. They rank 6th in baseball holding a save percentage of 68.9%, and they have sent 521 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

The Atlanta Braves have gotten 134 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (16th in the majors). The Braves have 1,307 assists, 80 errors and have earned a total of 4,239 putouts this season. In 12,717 innings played, the Braves have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (20th in professional baseball).

Thus far in his career, Strider has surrendered 228 base knocks while totaling 476 punch outs in 315 innings pitched. Strider (31-10 career mark) is the owner of a 3.34 earned run average and has allowed 6.5 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 117 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.042 and a FIP of 2.5. His K/BB ratio is 4.71 and he has gone up against 1,275 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-290)

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