Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Friday, September 29, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

The Washington Nationals (69-90) are en route to Truist Park on Friday where they will meet the Atlanta Braves (102-56). The pitchers who are expected to start are Trevor Williams and Allan Winans.

As a unit, the Washington Nationals are notching 4.3 runs per game, which puts them at 22nd in the league. They have 676 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .313. The Nationals have accrued 270 doubles as a unit and have hit 146 balls out of the park. They have tallied 643 runs batted in as well as 1,360 hits on the year, while their team batting average comes in at .253. Washington has a slugging rate of .394 and have struck out 1,118 times, while being walked on 412 occasions.

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The Nationals are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.98 on the year (27th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,189 batters. Nationals pitchers have surrendered 241 long balls and also 820 total runs (26th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 575 opposing batters and their FIP is 5.17 as a team this season. Washington has given up 1,464 hits (9.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 772 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.07 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.46.

The Nationals relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 61.2% and stepped onto the hill in 141 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 233 runners over the course of the season with 34.3% of them crossed the plate. Nationals bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 147 times as well as having 155 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have sent 508 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have a total of 74 holds for the season (23rd in the league). They have recorded 41 saves so far this year and have blown 26 of 67 save chances.

The Nationals have turned 68.5% of balls in play into outs out of 12,549 innings on the diamond, ranking them 20th in the majors. The Washington Nationals have accounted for 4,183 putouts this year, in addition to 1,475 assists and 86 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which ranks 17th in pro baseball, and they have turned 156 double plays.

Williams has taken the hill for 856 frames and has accounted for 697 K's so far in his career. Williams (44-54 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.67 while he has gone up against 3,708 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.48 (426 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.381. He has conceded 901 base hits (9.5 hits per nine innings) and has 282 free passes.

Atlanta has knocked in 301 home runs this season as well as 886 runs batted in. They have notched 283 doubles, while getting a free base 522 times and putting up 916 runs. The Atlanta Braves have a team OBP of .343 as well as a batting average of .275 on the campaign. The Braves have a slugging percentage of .501 and they are recording 5.83 runs per outing (1st in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 1,246 occasions (25th in the league) and have earned 1,489 hits.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.298 in addition to having a FIP of 4.08 as a staff on the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.50 (1,475 strikeouts vs 518 walks). They come in at 15th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,292. They have given up 180 dingers and they concede 4.42 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 685 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 4.09 (634 earned runs relinquished).

Atlanta has called on relievers to enter the contest in 73 save opportunities and they have come away with 50 saves. They are ranked 6th in MLB with a save rate of 68.5%, and they have dispatched 514 relief pitchers onto the field on the year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 161 times in high leverage situations and also on 126 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 30.3% out of their 185 inherited base runners. With 170 save situations, the Braves have 96 holds in addition to 23 blown saves.

In 12,546 innings on the diamond, the Braves have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (23rd in pro baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 133 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (16th in professional baseball). The Braves have recorded 1,290 assists, 80 errors and have accumulated 4,182 putouts over the course of the season.

During his pro baseball career, Winans has allowed 31 hits while earning 32 K's in 27 innings pitched. He has given up 13 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.370 and a FIP of 2.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 5.33 and he has gone up against 117 batters during his career. Winans (1-2 career mark) has a 4.33 ERA while allowing 10.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta

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