Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 6/11/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, June 11, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+195) Atlanta (-230)

The Atlanta Braves (39-24) host the Washington Nationals (25-37) at Truist Park on Sunday. The line on this matchup has Washington at +195 and Atlanta is priced at -230. The betting total comes in at 9.5. The starting pitchers will be Trevor Williams and Bryce Elder.

The Nationals have compiled 101 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 48 baseballs out of the stadium. Washington is slugging .387 and have been called out on strikes 437 times, while drawing a walk on 172 occasions. As a squad, the Washington Nationals are recording 4.2 runs/g, which is 23rd in the league. They have accumulated 250 runs batted in as well as 554 hits on the season, while their team batting average comes in at .262. They have tallied 262 runs while holding a team OBP of .325.

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The Nationals hold a team earned run average of 4.67 on the year (24th in baseball), and they have rung up 456 batters. Nationals pitchers have allowed 83 home runs in addition to 309 runs (23rd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 238 batters and their FIP sits at 5.00 as a unit on the year. Washington has allowed 565 base knocks (9.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 282 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 1.92 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.48.

The Nationals relievers have a save percentage of 53.1% and has come into the game in 65 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 94 runners on the campaign with 37.2% of them crossed the plate. Nationals bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 55 times in addition to having 62 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have sent 192 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have notched 33 holds on the campaign (17th in the league). They have recorded 17 saves on the season and have blown 15 out of their 32 save opportunities.

The Washington Nationals are sitting with 1,631 putouts this year, as well as 590 assists and 42 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .981 which puts them in 28th in the majors, and have earned 59 double plays. The Nationals have converted 68.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 4,893 innings on the field, which has them ranked 19th in professional baseball.

Williams has taken the ball for 776 innings and is sitting with 636 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.26 (367 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.343. He has allowed 791 base hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 251 free passes. Williams (40-48 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.48 while he has faced 3,332 opposing hitters in the majors.

The Braves have a team SLG% of .467 and they are recording 5.17 runs per contest (4th in the league). They have 111 doubles, while walking 208 times as well as scoring 326 runs. Atlanta has accumulated 105 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 314 RBIs. They have struck out on 539 instances (19th in the league) and have notched a total of 568 base hits. The Atlanta Braves are sitting with an OBP of .335 as well as a team batting average of .264 on the campaign.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.272 and have a FIP of 3.83 as a unit for the season. They are sitting at 6th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 502. The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 255 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 3.72 (231 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.60 (595 strikeouts against 209 bases on balls). They have given up 61 home runs and they surrender 4.11 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league).

With 72 save situations, the Braves have earned 40 holds and 13 blown saves. Atlanta has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 32 save opportunities and they have earned 19 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 72 times in high leverage situations and also on 54 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 36.7% of 79 inherited base runners. They rank 19th in the league holding a save rate of 59.4%, and they have sent 211 bullpen pitchers to the hill this season.

In 5,031 innings played, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (20th in baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 58 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .982 (26th in professional baseball). The Braves have accrued 530 assists, 41 errors and have earned a total of 1,677 putouts for the year.

Elder (6-4 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 2.65 earned run average while allowing 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.52 and he has faced 515 hitters in his career. He has given up 37 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.186 and having a FIP of 3.7. So far in his career, Elder has given up 105 hits and he has 111 punch outs in 125 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-230)

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