Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 10/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

The Washington Nationals (70-90) are headed to Truist Park on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Atlanta Braves (103-57). The pitchers taking the mound are Jackson Rutledge and Bryce Elder.

As a squad, the Washington Nationals are earning 4.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 22nd in baseball. They have earned 687 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .313. The Nationals have recorded 272 doubles as a team and have knocked 151 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 652 RBI's and 1,376 hits on the campaign, and their average at the plate is at .253. Washington is slugging .395 and have struck out 1,136 times, while drawing a walk on 414 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.07 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.47. Nationals pitchers have yielded 242 long balls and also 831 runs (26th in MLB). Washington has allowed 1,490 hits (9.5 per 9 innings) as well as 783 earned runs. The Nationals have a team ERA of 4.99 so far this season (27th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,208 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 584 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 5.15 as a squad so far this season.

Nationals bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 153 times and also have had 158 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 75 holds on the campaign (24th in the league). The Nationals relievers have accumulated a save rate of 60.3% and has come into the game in 143 save situations. They have earned 41 saves on the season and have not converted 27 of their 68 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 242 runners this year with 33.9% of those runners ended up scoring. The Nationals have sent 517 relievers to the mound this season.

The Washington Nationals have accumulated 4,234 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,497 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which puts them in 17th in the majors, and they have twisted 156 double plays. The Nationals have turned 68.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,702 innings on the field, which has them sitting 24th in baseball.

Rutledge has thrown 15 innings and has racked up 8 K's so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 6.00 (10 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.533. He has conceded 19 base hits (11.4 hits per nine innings) and has 4 walks. Rutledge (1-1 career record) has earned a FIP of 5.59 while he has faced 64 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

Atlanta has accounted for 304 home runs on the season and 902 RBIs. They have put up 288 doubles, while taking a walk 530 times and putting up 933 runs. The Atlanta Braves have tallied a team on-base percentage of .343 and a batting average of .275 so far this season. The Braves have a team slugging % of .500 and they earn 5.83 runs per outing (1st in the league). They have been rung up on 1,272 instances (25th in baseball) and have totaled 1,521 base knocks.

The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.294 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.10 as a staff on the year. They rank 14th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,315. The Atlanta pitching staff have surrendered 703 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.10 (648 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.50 (1,503 strikeouts vs 525 walks). They have surrendered 187 long balls and they yield 4.45 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league).

Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 75 save opportunities and they have earned 51 saves. They rank 8th in the league with a save rate of 68.0%, and they have dispatched 524 relievers onto the field on the year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 165 times in high leverage situations in addition to 128 occasions with runners on. Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 30.6% out of their 186 inherited runners. With 174 save situations, the Braves have accumulated 98 holds in addition to 24 blown saves.

In 12,798 innings on the field, the Braves are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (21st in MLB). The Atlanta Braves have gotten 134 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (16th in MLB). The Braves have accrued 1,319 assists, 83 errors and have amassed 4,266 putouts on the campaign.

During his career, Elder has allowed 204 hits while totaling 175 K's in 228 innings. Elder (14-8 record in his career) is the owner of a 3.66 ERA and has given up 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 93 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.268 and having a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.03 and he has faced 959 opposing batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Washington

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