Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 5/9/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, May 9, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-105) Philadelphia (-115)

The Philadelphia Phillies (16-19) welcome the Toronto Blue Jays (21-14) at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday. The line on this contest has the Blue Jays at -105 and the Phillies are sitting at -115. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Alek Manoah and Aaron Nola.

The Blue Jays have hit 68 doubles as a team and have hit 40 baseballs out of the park. Toronto has a slugging rate of .420 and have struck out 280 times, while being walked on 126 occasions. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are compiling 4.9 runs per game, which is 10th in baseball. They have amassed 162 runs batted in as well as 317 hits for the year, while their team batting average is at .261. They are sitting with 173 runs while holding a team OBP of .336.

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The Blue Jays have compiled a team ERA of 4.06 this season (12th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 322 hitters. Blue Jays pitchers have conceded 45 long balls in addition to 153 runs in total (14th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 101 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.28 as a unit for the season. Toronto has allowed 286 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 139 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.19 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.26.

The Blue Jays have dispatched 119 relievers to the hill on the year. The relievers have inherited 56 base runners on the campaign and 23.2% of them crossed the plate. They have compiled 11 saves on the year and have missed out on 3 of their 14 chances to save the game. The Blue Jays relievers have compiled a save rate of 78.6% and has come into the game in 35 save situations. The bullpen have recorded 21 holds so far this year (10th in the league). Blue Jays pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 38 times as well as having 34 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Blue Jays have transformed 69.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,772 innings on the diamond, ranking them 14th in MLB. The Toronto Blue Jays have amassed 924 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 278 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .984 which ranks 20th in professional baseball, and have a total of 25 double plays.

Manoah (26-11 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.72 while going up against 1,416 batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 260 hits (6.8 hits per nine innings) with 112 walks. His ERA is 2.82 (108 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.079. Manoah has taken the ball for 344 innings and has totaled 338 punch outs in his MLB career.

The Philadelphia Phillies have recorded an on-base percentage of .322 and a batting average of .266 on the campaign. They have struck out on 315 occasions (8th in MLB) and have earned 321 base hits. Philadelphia has a total of 38 home runs over the course of the season as well as 145 runs batted in. The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .430 and they tally 4.29 runs per contest (21st in baseball). They have 67 doubles, while getting a free base 91 times as well as notching 150 runs.

The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.358 and have a FIP of 4.10 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They are sitting at 19th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 294. The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 179 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 5.03 (170 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.40 (319 strikeouts vs 119 free passes). They have surrendered 36 long balls and they allow 5.30 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball).

Philadelphia bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 50.0% out of their 50 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 27 times in high leverage situations and also on 30 occasions with runners on base. With 30 save situations, the Phillies have tallied 18 holds and also 3 blown saves. They are currently ranked 6th in baseball holding a save rate of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 121 relievers onto the field over the course of the season. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 12 save chances and they have earned 9 saves.

Out of their 2,739 innings played, the Phillies have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.0% (22nd in baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 17 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .990 (7th in pro baseball). The Phillies have recorded 278 assists, 12 errors and have accumulated 913 putouts so far this year.

So far in his MLB career, Nola has conceded 1,095 hits while accumulating 1,413 K's in 1,271 innings pitched. Nola (80-64 career win-loss record) has a 3.64 ERA and has given up 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 514 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.125 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.22 and he has faced 5,194 hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (-105)

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