Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 9/21/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees

Date: Thursday, September 21, 2023

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+110) New York (-130)

The New York Yankees (76-75) will try to beat the Toronto Blue Jays (84-67) at Yankee Stadium on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has the Blue Jays at +110 while the Yankees are priced at -130. The over/under is 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jose Berrios and Gerrit Cole.

The Blue Jays have accounted for 270 two-baggers as a team and have hit 175 baseballs out of the stadium. Toronto has a slugging rate of .417 and have been called out on strikes 1,209 times, while being walked on 512 occasions. As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, which is 16th in baseball. They have accrued 652 RBI's as well as 1,328 hits this season, and their batting average is at .257. They have tallied 686 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .329.

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The Blue Jays hold a team ERA of 3.73 on the campaign (2nd in MLB), and they have struck out 1,415 hitters. Blue Jays pitchers have given up 183 home runs and 620 runs in total (4th in MLB). They have walked 457 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.07 as a team so far this season. Toronto has surrendered 1,220 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 560 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.10 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.24.

The Blue Jays bullpen have earned a save percentage of 74.6% and has entered the game in 167 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 228 base runners on the year and 22.4% of those players crossed home plate. Blue Jays relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 160 times in addition to having 182 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have dispatched 513 relievers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have recorded 100 holds over the course of the season (2nd in baseball). They have compiled 50 saves for the season and have blown 17 out of their 67 chances to get a save.

The Blue Jays have turned 69.6% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,177 innings on the diamond, ranking them 11th in MLB. The Toronto Blue Jays have 4,059 putouts for the season, as well as 1,218 assists and 70 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which puts them in 9th in baseball, and have accumulated 120 double plays.

Berrios has taken the ball for 1,201 innings and has tallied 1,174 K's so far in his career. Berrios (83-64 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.05 while he has gone up against 5,074 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.13 (551 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.243. He has surrendered 1,134 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) with 360 walks.

The Yankees have a slugging percentage of .396 and they are scoring 4.19 runs per game (23rd in the league). They have 197 two-baggers, while getting a free base 522 times as well as putting up 633 runs. New York has compiled 208 home runs so far this year and 610 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,315 instances (15th in baseball) and have earned 1,117 hits. The New York Yankees have an on-base percentage of .303 and a team batting average of .225 for the season.

The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.237 with a FIP of 4.29 as a staff on the campaign. They rank 3rd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,183. The New York pitching staff have allowed 652 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 3.98 (594 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (1,348 strikeouts vs 478 free passes). They have allowed 185 dingers and they allow 4.37 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB).

With 141 save situations, the Yankees have 81 holds and 19 blown saves. New York has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 59 save chances and they have earned 40 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 173 times in high leverage situations in addition to 162 occasions with base runners. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.5% out of 230 inherited base runners. They are ranked 7th in the league with a save rate of 67.8%, and they have sent 476 relievers to the mound so far this year.

In 12,093 innings on the field, the Yankees hold a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (4th in professional baseball). The New York Yankees have gotten 107 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (23rd in pro baseball). The Yankees have accrued 1,331 assists, 88 errors and have earned a total of 4,031 putouts on the season.

Cole (143-75 career win-loss mark) holds a 3.19 earned run average while conceding 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.54 and he has gone up against 7,416 hitters in his career. He has allowed 653 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.094 and having a FIP of 3.2. During his career, Cole has allowed 1,545 hits and he has 2,138 strikeouts in 1,842 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (+110)

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