Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 9/19/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees

Date: Tuesday, September 19, 2023

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+100) New York (-120)

The New York Yankees (76-74) will take on the Toronto Blue Jays (83-67) at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Blue Jays at +100 and the Yankees are coming in at -120. The total is 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Yusei Kikuchi and Clarke Schmidt.

The Blue Jays have earned 268 doubles as a team and have smacked 172 baseballs out of the stadium. Toronto is slugging .415 and have been called out on strikes 1,207 times, while being walked on 509 occasions. As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which puts them at 17th in MLB. They have accumulated 646 runs batted in and 1,318 base knocks so far this year, while their batting average is at .257. They have 679 runs scored while having a team OBP of .329.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.08 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.24. Blue Jays pitchers have relinquished 183 long balls in addition to 619 runs (5th in the league). Toronto has yielded 1,214 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) and 559 earned runs. The Blue Jays have compiled a team ERA of 3.74 over the course of the season (2nd in baseball), and they have struck out 1,403 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 456 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.09 as a team over the course of the season.

The Blue Jays have sent 509 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 227 base runners for the season and 22.5% of them earned a run for their team. They have compiled 50 saves this year and have blown 17 out of their 67 chances to save the game. The Blue Jays bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 74.6% and has entered the game in 164 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 97 holds on the season (2nd in baseball). Blue Jays bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 159 times as well as having 181 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Toronto Blue Jays have earned 4,032 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,206 assists and 70 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .987 which has them ranked 10th in professional baseball, and have a total of 117 double plays. The Blue Jays have turned 69.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,096 innings, ranking them 12th in professional baseball.

Kikuchi (30-37 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.88 and he has faced 2,677 batters in the majors. He has given up 621 hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 235 walks. His ERA is 4.72 (325 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.381. Kikuchi has pitched in 620 innings and is sitting with 613 K's thus far in his career.

The Yankees have a team slugging % of .397 and they score 4.21 runs per contest (23rd in the league). They have hit 196 doubles, while getting a free base 521 times and notching 632 runs. New York has hit 208 home runs this season to go along with 609 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,303 occasions (14th in the league) and have earned 1,111 hits. The New York Yankees hold an on-base percentage of .304 in addition to a batting average of .226 on the season.

The Yankees have a WHIP of 1.235 in addition to having a FIP of 4.26 as a staff this season. They rank 3rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,173. The New York pitching staff have yielded 645 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.97 (588 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.10 (1,346 strikeouts against 475 bases on balls). They have conceded 182 homers and they surrender 4.35 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB).

New York has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 59 save chances and they have earned 40 saves. They rank 7th in the league with a save rate of 67.8%, and they have sent 473 relievers onto the diamond for the year. Their relievers have taken the field 173 times in high leverage situations and also on 162 occasions with runners on base. New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 36.5% of 230 inherited runners. With 141 save situations, the Yankees have amassed 81 holds in addition to 19 blown saves.

The New York Yankees have gotten 106 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in MLB). The Yankees have 1,320 assists, 86 errors and have notched a total of 4,004 putouts on the season. Out of their 12,012 innings on the field, the Yankees have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (4th in baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Schmidt has allowed 218 hits while he has tallied 211 strikeouts in 216 innings pitched. Schmidt (14-14 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 4.29 earned run average while allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 103 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.350 and having a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.85 and he has gone up against 942 opposing batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (+100)

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