Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, June 4, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+105) New York (-125)

The Toronto Blue Jays (31-27) are traveling to Citi Field on Sunday where they will take on the New York Mets (30-28). The moneyline on this matchup has the Blue Jays at +105 and the Mets are coming in at -125. The over/under is 9. The starting pitchers will be Yusei Kikuchi and Kodai Senga.

As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are recording 4.7 runs per game, which puts them at 11th in the league. They have tallied 272 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .332. The Blue Jays have accumulated 104 doubles as a squad and have hit 66 balls out of the park. They have tallied 256 runs batted in and 538 hits over the course of the season, and their average at the plate is .266. Toronto is slugging .422 and have struck out 450 times, while being walked on 188 occasions.

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The Blue Jays hold a team earned run average of 3.83 on the campaign (8th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 540 batters. Blue Jays pitchers have given up 74 home runs and also 244 runs (12th in the league). They have walked 198 opposing players and their FIP is 4.34 as a unit on the year. Toronto has given up 456 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 219 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.73 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Blue Jays relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 76.2% and stepped onto the hill in 53 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 91 runners on the year and 22.0% of them crossed home plate. Blue Jays bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 63 times as well as having 55 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have dispatched 190 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers have recorded 32 holds this season (12th in MLB). They have recorded 16 saves for the season and have missed out on 5 of their 21 save chances.

The Blue Jays have transformed 70.1% of balls in play into outs out of 4,632 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 9th in the majors. The Toronto Blue Jays have notched a total of 1,544 putouts for the season, in addition to 464 assists and 29 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which ranks 18th in the majors, and they have turned 44 double plays.

Kikuchi has thrown 522 innings and is sitting with 502 strikeouts thus far in his career. His ERA is 4.96 (288 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.422. He has conceded 534 base knocks (9.2 hits per nine innings) and has 209 free passes. Kikuchi (27-33 career mark) holds a FIP of 5.17 while he has faced 2,277 opposing batters in the majors.

New York has a total of 65 long balls for the year and 244 RBIs. They have put up 76 doubles, while taking a walk 200 times as well as scoring 253 runs. The New York Mets have accounted for an on-base percentage of .322 as well as a batting average of .242 on the year. The Mets have a SLG% of .393 and they tally 4.36 runs per contest (20th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 424 occasions (28th in baseball) and have earned 464 base hits.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.334 and have a FIP of 4.76 as a staff so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.70 (486 strikeouts vs 204 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 12th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 467. They have given up 78 HR's and they relinquish 4.69 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have given up 262 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 4.53 (253 earned runs relinquished).

New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 23 save opportunities and they have tallied 18 saves. They rank 1st in baseball with a save rate of 78.3%, and they have dispatched 180 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 53 times in high leverage situations and also on 45 occasions with base runners. New York relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 22.4% out of 67 inherited runners. Sitting with 65 save situations, the Mets have earned 42 holds and also 5 blown saves.

Out of their 4,527 innings on the diamond, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (6th in the majors). The New York Mets have turned 49 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .991 (1st in professional baseball). The Mets have recorded 498 assists, 19 errors and have 1,509 putouts on the campaign.

Senga (5-3 career mark) holds a 3.44 earned run average and has conceded 7.0 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.26 and he has faced 235 opposing hitters in his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 21 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.345 and a FIP of 3.9. So far in his MLB career, Senga has surrendered 43 base knocks and he has 70 strikeouts in 55 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-125)

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