Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/3/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, June 3, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-105) New York (-115)

The Toronto Blue Jays (30-27) are en route to Citi Field on Saturday where they will take on the New York Mets (30-27). The moneyline on this game has Toronto at -105 and New York is sitting at -115. The total is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Jose Berrios and Tylor Megill.

The Blue Jays have tallied 104 two-baggers as a team and have hit 64 balls out of the park. Toronto has a slugging rate of .422 and have struck out 440 times, while taking a walk on 185 occasions. As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are knocking in 4.7 runs/g, which is 10th in the league. They have compiled 253 runs batted in as well as 530 hits on the season, and their team batting average is .266. They have notched a total of 269 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .333.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.68 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.29. Blue Jays pitchers have given up 74 long balls in addition to 244 runs (12th in the league). Toronto has allowed 452 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 219 earned runs. The Blue Jays have compiled a team ERA of 3.90 over the course of the season (9th in the league), and the staff has struck out 530 hitters. They have walked 198 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.41 as a unit so far this year.

The Blue Jays relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 75.0% and stepped onto the hill in 51 save situations. The relievers have inherited 91 base runners for the season and 22.0% of them crossed the plate. Blue Jays bullpen pitchers have come into the game with players on base 63 times in addition to having 55 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have dispatched 188 relievers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have a total of 31 holds on the season (13th in the league). They have recorded 15 saves for the season and have blown 5 of their 20 save opportunities.

The Toronto Blue Jays have earned a total of 1,517 putouts this season, as well as 459 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which ranks 16th in the majors, and they have twisted 44 double plays. The Blue Jays have turned 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 4,551 innings, which has them sitting at 8th in MLB.

Berrios has pitched in 1,089 innings and has racked up 1,068 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.21 (510 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.254. He has conceded 1,036 base knocks (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 330 walks. Berrios (77-58 mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.04 while facing 4,611 batters in the majors.

The New York Mets have recorded a team OBP of .325 and a batting average of .244 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 414 instances (28th in baseball) and have totaled 460 base hits. New York has compiled 65 long balls this year as well as 244 RBIs. The Mets have a team SLG% of .397 and they score 4.44 runs per game (19th in baseball). They have hit 75 doubles, while taking a walk 200 times as well as putting up 253 runs.

The New York pitching staff have yielded 259 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 4.55 (250 earned runs yielded). They have given up 76 homers and they relinquish 4.72 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.336 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.77 as a pitching staff this season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.70 (476 strikeouts vs 201 walks). They sit at 13th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 459.

New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 22.4% out of their 67 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 53 times in high leverage situations in addition to 45 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 65 save situations, the Mets have amassed 42 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. They sit at 1st in the league with a save rate of 78.3%, and they have sent 177 relievers onto the diamond this season. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 23 save opportunities and they have walked away with 18 saves.

Out of their 4,446 innings on the diamond, the Mets have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 70.5% (5th in MLB). The New York Mets have turned 47 double plays and have a fielding rate of .990 (1st in pro baseball). The Mets have recorded 488 assists, 19 errors and have a total of 1,482 putouts this year.

Megill (13-11 career record) holds a 4.71 ERA and has conceded 9.1 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.88 and he has gone up against 823 opposing batters during his MLB career. He has surrendered 100 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.361 and a FIP of 4.6. In his MLB career, Megill has conceded 193 base hits and he has 193 K's in 191 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-115)

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