Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 10/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Wednesday, October 4, 2023

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-102) Minnesota (-116)

The Toronto Blue Jays (89-73) are on their way to Target Field on Wednesday where they will attempt to defeat the Minnesota Twins (87-75) in Game 2 of their series. The moneyline on this contest has Toronto at -102 and Minnesota opens at -116. The total is 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Jose Berrios and Sonny Gray.

As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are knocking in 4.6 runs per contest, which puts them at 15th in baseball. They have notched a total of 746 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .329. The Blue Jays have hit 292 doubles as a squad and have hit 188 balls out of the park. They have recorded 706 RBI's as well as 1,424 base knocks so far this season, and their batting average comes in at .256. Toronto has a slugging % of .417 and have been rung up 1,303 times, while being walked on 550 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.13 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25. Blue Jays pitchers have given up 198 long balls and also 671 total runs (6th in MLB). Toronto has given up 1,326 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 610 earned runs. The Blue Jays have an ERA of 3.78 this year (4th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,528 batters. They have walked 488 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.06 as a team so far this year.

The Blue Jays bullpen have a save percentage of 73.9% and has come into the game in 175 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 236 runners for the season and 22.9% of those players earned a run for their team. Blue Jays bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 166 times and also have had 192 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have sent 550 relievers to the mound for the season. The bullpen have a total of 106 holds so far this year (2nd in MLB). They have earned 51 saves on the season and have blown 18 out of their 69 save chances.

The Blue Jays have converted 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 13,065 innings, which has them sitting at 16th in pro baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have notched a total of 4,355 putouts this year, as well as 1,307 assists and 71 errors. Their fielding rate is at .988 which has them ranked 6th in MLB, and have accumulated 125 double plays.

Berrios has pitched in 1,213 innings and has accounted for 1,190 strikeouts during his career. His earned run average is 4.15 (559 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.244. He has given up 1,146 base knocks (8.5 hits per nine innings) with 363 walks. Berrios (83-66 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.04 while facing 5,123 opposing batters in the major leagues.

Minnesota has accumulated 233 home runs this season to go along with 745 runs batted in. They have hit 264 doubles, while walking 594 times and notching 778 runs. The Minnesota Twins have an on-base percentage of .326 and a team batting average of .243 so far this season. The Twins have a team slugging percentage of .427 and they are recording 4.80 runs per game (10th in the league). They have struck out on 1,654 occasions (1st in MLB) and have accounted for 1,335 base hits.

The Twins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.197 with a FIP of 3.89 as a pitching staff on the season. They sit at 6th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,294. The Minnesota pitching staff have allowed 659 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.87 (624 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.70 (1,560 strikeouts vs 443 bases on balls). They have surrendered 194 home runs and they allow 4.09 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league).

Minnesota has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 66 save chances and they have earned 38 saves. They rank 23rd in the league holding a save rate of 57.6%, and they have sent 490 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 186 times in high leverage situations in addition to 118 occasions with runners on base. Minnesota bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 28.1% out of their 160 inherited runners. With 147 save situations, the Twins have amassed 79 holds and 28 blown saves.

The Minnesota Twins have turned 116 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (4th in professional baseball). The Twins have recorded 1,286 assists, 66 errors and have amassed 4,354 putouts this season. In their 13,062 innings on the diamond, the Twins have a efficiency on defense of 69.7% (9th in pro baseball).

Thus far in his career, Gray has surrendered 1,348 base knocks while he has earned 1,521 K's in 1,571 innings. He has allowed 606 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.204 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.80 and he has gone up against 6,528 batters thus far in his career. Gray (98-85 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.47 earned run average while giving up 7.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-116)

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