Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 10/3/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Tuesday, October 3, 2023

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-102) Minnesota (-116)

The Toronto Blue Jays (89-73) are on their way to Target Field on Tuesday where they will play the Minnesota Twins (87-75). The moneyline on this contest has the Blue Jays at -102 while the Twins are at -116. The total has been set at 7.5. The starting pitchers are Kevin Gausman and Pablo Lopez.

Toronto has a slugging rate of .417 and have been rung up 1,303 times, while taking a walk on 550 occasions. They have 706 runs batted in as well as 1,424 base knocks this year, while their team batting average is at .256. The Blue Jays have earned 292 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 188 baseballs out of the stadium. They have a total of 746 runs while having a team OBP of .329. As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 4.6 runs per outing, which ranks them 15th in baseball.

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The Blue Jays hold a team ERA of 3.78 this year (4th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,528 hitters. Blue Jays pitchers have conceded 198 long balls in addition to 671 runs in total (6th in MLB). They have walked 488 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.06 as a unit so far this season. Toronto has surrendered 1,326 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 610 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.13 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25.

Blue Jays pitchers have entered the game with players on base 166 times as well as having 192 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 106 holds so far this year (2nd in the league). The Blue Jays relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 73.9% and has entered the game in 175 save situations. They have recorded 51 saves for the season and have not converted 18 of their 69 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 236 base runners on the campaign with 22.9% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Blue Jays have sent 550 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have accumulated 4,355 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,307 assists and 71 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which has them ranked 6th in professional baseball, and they have turned 125 double plays. The Blue Jays have turned 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 13,065 innings, which ranks them 16th in pro baseball.

Gausman has taken the hill for 1,537 innings and has accumulated 1,603 strikeouts so far in his career. Gausman (88-91 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 3.60 while he has faced 6,455 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.84 (656 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.265. He has allowed 1,515 hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) with 429 free passes.

Minnesota has compiled 233 home runs on the campaign as well as 745 RBIs. They have notched 264 two-baggers, while walking 594 times and earning 778 runs. The Minnesota Twins have earned an on-base percentage of .326 in addition to a team batting average of .243 on the campaign. The Twins have a team slugging % of .427 and they are scoring 4.80 runs per game (10th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,654 occasions (1st in the league) and have accounted for 1,335 hits.

The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.197 with a FIP of 3.89 as a squad over the course of the season. They rank 6th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,294. The Minnesota pitching staff have given up 659 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 3.87 (624 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.70 (1,560 strikeouts vs 443 bases on balls). They have surrendered 194 home runs and they yield 4.09 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league).

Minnesota has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 66 save opportunities and they have walked away with 38 saves. They are ranked 23rd in MLB with a save percentage of 57.6%, and they have sent 490 relief pitchers to the mound this season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 186 times in high leverage situations in addition to 118 occasions with base runners. Minnesota relievers hold an inherited score rate of 28.1% of 160 inherited runners. Sitting with 147 save situations, the Twins have compiled 79 holds and also 28 blown saves.

In their 13,062 innings played, the Twins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (9th in MLB). The Minnesota Twins have gotten 116 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (4th in baseball). The Twins have racked up 1,286 assists, 66 errors and have earned 4,354 putouts on the season.

Lopez (39-39 career record) has a 3.86 earned run average while allowing 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.81 and he has faced 2,911 opposing hitters during his career. He has allowed 302 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.178 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. Thus far in his career, Lopez has surrendered 639 base hits while earning 723 punch outs in 704 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-116)

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