Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 6/21/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins

Date: Wednesday, June 21, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-150) Miami (+130)

The Toronto Blue Jays (39-35) are en route to loanDepot park on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat the Miami Marlins (42-31). The line on this contest has Toronto at -150 while Miami is sitting at +130. The over/under is set at 7. The pitchers taking the mound are Kevin Gausman and Sandy Alcantara.

Toronto owns a slugging percentage of .417 and have been rung up 570 times, while drawing a walk on 240 occasions. They have accounted for 313 RBI's and 671 hits this year, and their average at the plate sits at .262. The Blue Jays have accrued 131 doubles as a squad and have knocked 83 baseballs out of the park. They have earned a total of 330 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .330. As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are putting up 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 15th in baseball.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.95 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.30. Blue Jays pitchers have conceded 103 long balls and 326 runs in total (15th in MLB). Toronto has allowed 615 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and also 298 earned runs. The Blue Jays have a team earned run average of 4.10 for the year (14th in the league), and the staff has struck out 691 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 234 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.43 as a squad on the season.

Blue Jays relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 81 times in addition to having 77 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 41 holds so far this year (11th in baseball). The Blue Jays bullpen have recorded a save rate of 76.7% and has come into the game in 71 save situations. They have recorded 23 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 7 of 30 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 117 runners on the campaign with 23.1% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Blue Jays have dispatched 245 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The Blue Jays have transformed 68.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 5,892 innings on the field, which ranks them 16th in baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have earned 1,964 putouts for the season, as well as 584 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which puts them in 20th in pro baseball, and have a total of 56 double plays.

Gausman has taken the mound for 1,444 frames and has earned 1,487 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 3.87 (622 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.267. He has allowed 1,433 hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has 398 walks. Gausman (82-85 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.63 and he has faced 6,068 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The Miami Marlins have compiled an OBP of .323 and a team batting average of .260 so far this year. They have been rung up on 598 occasions (20th in MLB) and have earned 641 hits. Miami is sitting with 69 home runs so far this year to go along with 283 RBIs. The Marlins have a SLG% of .397 and they tally 4.11 runs per contest (24th in baseball). They have notched 109 two-baggers, while getting a free base 212 times and earning 300 runs.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.284 in addition to having a FIP of 3.93 as a pitching staff so far this year. They have a ranking of 12th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 595. The Miami pitching staff have allowed 313 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.08 (294 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.40 (680 strikeouts against 237 free passes). They have allowed 76 homers and they concede 4.35 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league).

Miami relievers hold an inherited score rate of 31.3% out of their 115 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 95 times in high leverage situations and also on 75 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 81 save situations, the Marlins have 48 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. They are ranked 10th in the league holding a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 252 relief pitchers onto the field for the season. Miami has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 33 save opportunities and they have converted 22 saves.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 66 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .983 (25th in pro baseball). The Marlins have 647 assists, 44 errors and have accounted for 1,946 putouts for the season. Out of their 5,838 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (22nd in pro baseball).

So far in his career, Alcantara has allowed 674 base knocks while he has earned 710 strikeouts in 804 innings pitched. Alcantara (36-48 career record) holds a 3.31 ERA while allowing 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 296 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.151 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.82 and he has faced 3,289 opposing batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+130)

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