Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/6/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox
Date: Sunday, August 6, 2023
Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA
TV: NESN
Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+130) Boston (-155)
Fenway Park is the location where the Boston Red Sox (57-52) will play the Toronto Blue Jays (61-50) on Sunday. The line on this contest has the Blue Jays at +130 and the Red Sox are coming in at -155. The betting total is set at 10.5. The men taking the mound will be Chris Bassitt and Brayan Bello.
Toronto is slugging .419 and have been called out on strikes 898 times, while drawing a walk on 362 occasions. They have tallied 472 runs batted in in addition to 987 base knocks for the season, and their batting average comes in at .259. The Blue Jays have accumulated 197 doubles as a squad and have hit 131 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 498 runs while holding a team OBP of .329. As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are compiling 4.5 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 16th in the league.
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The Blue Jays have an earned run average of 3.82 for the season (5th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,056 batters. Blue Jays pitchers have given up 138 long balls in addition to 455 runs in total (6th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 344 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.14 as a unit over the course of the season. Toronto has surrendered 914 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 421 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.07 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27.
The Blue Jays relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 74.5% and has entered the game in 124 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 172 runners on the season with 20.9% of them ended up scoring. Blue Jays relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 120 times in addition to having 123 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have sent 372 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The bullpen have a total of 73 holds so far this season (3rd in baseball). They have earned 38 saves over the course of the season and have blown 13 of their 51 save chances.
The Blue Jays have turned 68.9% of balls in play into outs out of 8,925 innings on the field, which has them sitting 17th in baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have earned a total of 2,975 putouts so far this season, as well as 880 assists and 50 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which is 10th in professional baseball, and have a total of 88 double plays.
Bassitt (56-40 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.93 while facing 3,652 batters in the majors. He has allowed 775 base knocks (8.0 hits per 9 innings) with 271 free passes. His earned run average is 3.54 (342 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.202. Bassitt has thrown 870 innings and has tallied 796 strikeouts in his career.
The Red Sox hold a slugging % of .433 and they score 4.94 runs per game (8th in the league). They have hit 239 two-baggers, while taking a walk 337 times as well as putting up 538 runs. Boston has accumulated 123 HRs on the season as well as 515 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 892 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have a total of 980 base hits. The Boston Red Sox hold an OBP of .330 as well as a batting average of .263 for the season.
The Boston pitching staff have allowed 499 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.29 (459 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 140 HR's and they allow 4.67 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.299 with a FIP of 4.34 as a pitching staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.80 (940 strikeouts against 310 walks). They rank 23rd in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 940.
Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 29.8% out of 114 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 94 times in high leverage situations and on 76 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 89 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 49 holds in addition to 9 blown saves. They are ranked 1st in the league holding a save percentage of 77.5%, and they have dispatched 337 relievers to the mound for the year. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 40 save opportunities and they have tallied 31 saves.
Out of their 8,658 innings played, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (27th in baseball). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 97 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (30th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 967 assists, 75 errors and have amassed 2,886 putouts this season.
Bello (10-14 record in his career) has a 4.12 earned run average while surrendering 9.8 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.62 and he has gone up against 699 batters in his MLB career. He has given up 73 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.431 and a FIP of 3.9. So far in his pro baseball career, Bello has surrendered 173 base knocks while totaling 144 punch outs in 159 innings pitched.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (+130)
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