Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, August 4, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (57-50) will try to beat the Toronto Blue Jays (59-49) on Friday. The pitchers taking the mound will be Alek Manoah and James Paxton.

The Blue Jays have accrued 193 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 126 balls out of the park. Toronto has a slugging % of .419 and have been called out on strikes 872 times, while taking a walk on 354 occasions. As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, which puts them at 15th in MLB. They have earned 461 runs batted in and 965 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average comes in at .260. They have a total of 486 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .330.

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The Blue Jays have compiled a team earned run average of 3.84 so far this year (6th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,032 batters. Blue Jays pitchers have surrendered 136 home runs and 445 total runs (6th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 336 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.16 as a squad so far this year. Toronto has given up 886 base knocks (8.3 per 9 innings) and 412 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.07 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Blue Jays have dispatched 364 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 169 runners so far this year with 20.7% of those runners crossed the plate. They have earned 36 saves so far this year and have blown 13 of their 49 save opportunities. The Blue Jays relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 73.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 119 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 70 holds on the season (4th in baseball). Blue Jays relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 118 times in addition to having 123 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Blue Jays have converted 69.0% of balls in play into outs out of their 8,682 innings, ranking them 17th in pro baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have accounted for 2,894 putouts on the year, in addition to 851 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which is 11th in pro baseball, and have a total of 85 double plays.

Manoah has taken the ball for 385 innings and is sitting with 375 punch outs during his career. His ERA is 3.25 (139 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.166. He has given up 304 base hits (7.1 hits per 9 innings) with 145 walks. Manoah (27-17 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.03 while he has gone up against 1,614 opposing batters in the majors.

Boston has hit 120 home runs so far this year as well as 509 runs batted in. They have hit 237 two-baggers, while taking a walk 331 times as well as putting up 532 runs. The Boston Red Sox have tallied an OBP of .331 and a team batting average of .264 on the season. The Red Sox have a team slugging % of .434 and they are recording 4.97 runs per game (6th in baseball). They have been rung up on 875 instances (22nd in baseball) and are sitting with 968 base hits.

The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.291 in addition to having a FIP of 4.29 as a pitching staff this year. They come in at 23rd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 916. The Boston pitching staff have conceded 486 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 4.25 (446 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.80 (926 strikeouts vs 304 walks). They have given up 134 home runs and they concede 4.63 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball).

Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.4% of 109 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 93 times in high leverage situations in addition to 73 occasions with base runners. With 87 save situations, the Red Sox have recorded 48 holds and also 8 blown saves. They rank 1st in the league with a save percentage of 79.5%, and they have dispatched 331 relief pitchers onto the field this season. Boston has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 39 save chances and they have come away with 31 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 94 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981 (30th in MLB). The Red Sox have recorded 948 assists, 74 errors and have notched a total of 2,835 putouts so far this season. Out of their 8,505 innings on the field, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (26th in professional baseball).

So far in his career, Paxton has allowed 739 base knocks while he has earned 911 punch outs in 824 frames. Paxton (63-35 career record) has earned a 3.57 ERA while allowing 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 327 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.200 and a FIP of 3.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.63 and he has gone up against 3,412 hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston

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