Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, May 4, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-155) Boston (+135)

The Toronto Blue Jays (18-12) are hitting the road to Fenway Park on Thursday where they will take on the Boston Red Sox (17-14). The moneyline on this contest has the Blue Jays at -155 while the Red Sox are at +135. The over/under comes in at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Kevin Gausman and Brayan Bello.

As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are putting up 4.8 runs per game, which ranks them 11th in baseball. They have accounted for 143 runs while holding a team OBP of .333. The Blue Jays have recorded 51 doubles as a unit and have hit 33 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 135 runs batted in and 265 hits this season, and their team batting average sits at .257. Toronto owns a slugging percentage of .406 and have been rung up 239 times, while being walked on 107 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Picks

They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.30 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.22. Blue Jays pitchers have allowed 42 home runs and also 131 runs in total (15th in baseball). Toronto has conceded 238 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 121 earned runs. The Blue Jays are sitting with a team ERA of 4.11 over the course of the season (13th in MLB), and they have struck out 284 hitters. They have walked 86 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.41 as a team on the campaign.

The Blue Jays have sent 103 relievers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 45 base runners over the course of the season and 26.7% of them ended up scoring. They have earned 11 saves this year and have not converted 3 of 14 save opportunities. The Blue Jays bullpen have compiled a save rate of 78.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 34 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 20 holds this year (9th in the league). Blue Jays pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 32 times and also have had 33 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Toronto Blue Jays have a tally of 795 putouts on the campaign, as well as 234 assists and 13 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which ranks 12th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 25 double plays. The Blue Jays have turned 70.0% of balls in play into outs in their 2,385 innings on the field, which has them ranked 13th in MLB.

Gausman (78-84 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.65 while facing 5,846 batters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 1,385 hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has 380 free passes. His ERA is 3.89 (601 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.269. Gausman has taken the ball for 1,390 frames and has earned 1,420 punch outs during his pro baseball career.

Boston has a total of 44 HRs on the year to go along with 167 runs batted in. They have put up 68 doubles, while getting a free base 106 times and putting up 176 runs. The Boston Red Sox have recorded a team on-base percentage of .338 and a batting average of .266 this year. The Red Sox hold a slugging % of .458 and they score 5.68 runs per game (3rd in the league). They have been rung up on 238 instances (24th in the league) and have earned a total of 282 base hits.

The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 162 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 4.99 (152 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 42 dingers and they give up 5.32 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.354 and have a FIP of 4.70 as a pitching staff on the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (261 strikeouts against 95 free passes). They are currently ranked 26th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 276.

Sitting with 26 save situations, the Red Sox have 16 holds and 2 blown saves. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 10 save chances and they have walked away with 8 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 22 times in high leverage situations and on 12 occasions with base runners. Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 45.0% out of their 20 inherited base runners. They rank 3rd in the league with a save rate of 80.0%, and they have dispatched 98 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season.

In their 2,466 innings played, the Red Sox have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.1% (22nd in MLB). The Boston Red Sox have turned 26 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in the majors). The Red Sox have recorded 268 assists, 20 errors and are sitting with 822 putouts on the season.

Bello (2-9 career mark) is the owner of a 5.04 ERA and has surrendered 12.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.16 and he has faced 327 opposing batters thus far in his career. He has allowed a total of 39 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.794 and a FIP of 3.4. So far in his career, Bello has surrendered 93 base hits while accumulating 69 strikeouts in 69 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (+135)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here