Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 9/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: Root Sports Northwest

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+105) Seattle (-125)

The Texas Rangers (89-70) are traveling to T-Mobile Park on Saturday where they will compete against the Seattle Mariners (86-73). The moneyline on this game has the Rangers at +105 and the Mariners are priced at -125. The over/under is set at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Jon Gray and Luis Castillo.

Texas is slugging .457 and have struck out 1,379 times, while taking a walk on 583 occasions. They have earned 839 runs batted in and 1,454 base knocks for the season, while their average at the plate sits at .264. The Rangers have accrued 324 doubles as a unit and have hit 233 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 875 runs scored and hold an OBP of .338. As a squad, the Texas Rangers are compiling 5.5 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 3rd in the league.

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The Rangers hold a team ERA of 4.29 over the course of the season (19th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,323 hitters. Rangers pitchers have conceded 194 home runs in addition to 706 runs in total (14th in baseball). They have walked 486 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.32 as a team for the season. Texas has allowed 1,313 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 673 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.72 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Rangers relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 47.6% and stepped onto the hill in 146 save situations. The relievers have inherited 264 runners on the campaign and 31.1% of those runners earned a run for their team. Rangers pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 160 times as well as having 158 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rangers have sent 458 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have 80 holds so far this year (19th in the league). They have compiled 30 saves so far this season and have blown 33 of their 63 save opportunities.

The Texas Rangers have accounted for 4,234 putouts on the year, as well as 1,406 assists and 57 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .990 which is 2nd in baseball, and they have turned 143 double plays. The Rangers have turned 70.2% of balls in play into outs out of 12,702 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 5th in baseball.

Gray has pitched in 1,114 innings and has accounted for 1,125 K's in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.45 (551 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.308. He has allowed 1,084 base hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) with 373 free passes. Gray (69-64 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.98 and he has gone up against 4,733 hitters in the majors.

The Seattle Mariners have accounted for an on-base percentage of .323 in addition to a team batting average of .243 for the year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,575 occasions (2nd in MLB) and are sitting with 1,315 base knocks. Seattle has hit 206 home runs so far this year to go along with 718 RBIs. The Mariners hold a team slugging percentage of .414 and they score 4.70 runs per contest (12th in baseball). They have recorded 282 doubles, while walking 543 times as well as putting up 748 runs.

The Mariners have a team WHIP of 1.188 with a FIP of 3.91 as a staff on the campaign. They sit at 7th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,285. The Seattle pitching staff have yielded 653 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.77 (596 earned runs conceded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (1,422 strikeouts against 405 walks). They have relinquished 184 long balls and they relinquish 4.13 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league).

With 162 save situations, the Mariners have amassed 96 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. Seattle has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 63 save chances and they have earned 43 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 180 times in high leverage situations and on 147 occasions with runners on. Seattle bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.7% out of their 191 inherited base runners. They are ranked 7th in baseball holding a save rate of 68.3%, and they have dispatched 536 relievers to the hill this season.

In their 12,801 innings on the diamond, the Mariners have a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (7th in baseball). The Seattle Mariners have turned 122 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (9th in the majors). The Mariners have recorded 1,363 assists, 73 errors and have notched a total of 4,267 putouts during this campaign.

During his career, Castillo has given up 877 hits while totaling 1,152 K's in 1,052 frames. Castillo (62-63 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.52 earned run average and has surrendered 7.5 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 411 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.171 and having a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 3.25 and he has gone up against 4,342 opposing batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Texas (+105)

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