Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres
Date: Saturday, July 29, 2023
Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA
TV: Bally Sports San Diego
Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+170) San Diego (-200)
Petco Park is the location where the San Diego Padres (49-54) will take on the Texas Rangers (60-43) on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Rangers at +170 while the Padres are priced at -200. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Martin Perez and Yu Darvish.
The Rangers have tallied 225 doubles as a unit and have knocked 144 balls out of the stadium. Texas has a slugging rate of .463 and have struck out 874 times, while drawing a walk on 359 occasions. As a squad, the Texas Rangers are notching 5.9 runs per game, which puts them at 1st in the league. They have accounted for 580 runs batted in in addition to 988 hits so far this year, and their batting average sits at .275. They have earned a total of 605 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .343.
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The Rangers have compiled a team ERA of 4.19 this year (16th in MLB), and they have rung up 822 hitters. Rangers pitchers have surrendered 118 long balls in addition to 448 runs in total (14th in MLB). They have walked 301 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.28 as a team on the season. Texas has allowed 828 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 424 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.73 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24.
The Rangers bullpen have earned a save percentage of 51.4% and has entered the game in 85 save situations. The relievers have inherited 159 runners this year with 30.8% of them crossed the plate. Rangers relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 95 times as well as having 89 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rangers have sent 282 relievers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have notched 47 holds so far this year (23rd in the league). They have earned 19 saves this year and have missed out on 18 of their 37 save opportunities.
The Rangers have transformed 70.7% of balls in play into outs in their 8,205 innings on the field, which has them ranked 4th in pro baseball. The Texas Rangers have a total of 2,735 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 915 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .988 which ranks 6th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 94 double plays.
Perez (83-80 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.42 while he has gone up against 6,095 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 1,524 base hits (9.8 hits per 9 innings) with 508 free passes. His ERA is 4.47 (696 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.450. Perez has taken the ball for 1,401 frames and has racked up 977 strikeouts in his career.
San Diego has recorded 131 home runs over the course of the season as well as 445 runs batted in. They have tallied 181 doubles, while taking a walk 429 times as well as putting up 465 runs. The San Diego Padres have accounted for an OBP of .325 and a team batting average of .235 this season. The Padres hold a team slugging percentage of .409 and they score 4.51 runs per contest (16th in MLB). They have struck out on 864 instances (19th in baseball) and have tallied 803 hits.
The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.257 and have a FIP of 4.27 as a squad for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.80 (896 strikeouts against 341 free passes). They sit at 5th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 809. They have given up 117 homers and they relinquish 4.07 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). The San Diego pitching staff have conceded 414 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 3.78 (384 earned runs conceded).
With 105 save situations, the Padres have earned 59 holds and also 20 blown saves. San Diego has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 46 save chances and they have come away with 26 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 103 times in high leverage situations and on 75 occasions with runners on. San Diego bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 35.3% out of 116 inherited runners. They sit at 24th in baseball holding a save rate of 56.5%, and they have sent 326 relievers onto the diamond for the year.
The San Diego Padres have turned 88 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in baseball). The Padres have accrued 935 assists, 41 errors and have accumulated 2,746 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 8,238 innings played, the Padres have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (5th in baseball).
Darvish (102-82 career win-loss record) holds a 3.58 earned run average while conceding 7.3 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.68 and he has gone up against 6,532 hitters in his MLB career. He has surrendered 633 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.137 and a FIP of 3.5. During his MLB career, Darvish has given up 1,292 hits while he has earned 1,896 punch outs in 1,589 innings pitched.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-200)
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Additional Resources:
San Diego Padres - Twitter
Texas Rangers - Twitter