Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Friday, July 28, 2023

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+170) San Diego (-200)

Petco Park is the location where the San Diego Padres (49-54) will attempt to defeat the Texas Rangers (60-43) on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has Texas at +170 and San Diego is coming in at -200. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Dane Dunning and Joe Musgrove.

As a team, the Texas Rangers are notching 5.9 runs per game, which ranks them 1st in the league. They have tallied 605 runs while holding a team OBP of .343. The Rangers have earned 225 doubles as a unit and have knocked 144 balls out of the park. They have accrued 580 runs batted in as well as 988 base knocks over the course of the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .275. Texas is slugging .463 and have been rung up 874 times, while drawing a walk on 359 occasions.

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The Rangers are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.19 for the year (16th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 822 batters. Rangers pitchers have allowed 118 home runs and 448 total runs (15th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 301 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.28 as a squad this season. Texas has allowed 828 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 424 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.73 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24.

The Rangers have dispatched 282 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 159 runners for the season with 30.8% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have recorded 19 saves on the year and have blown 18 of 37 save opportunities. The Rangers bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 51.4% and has come into the game in 85 save situations. The relief pitchers have 47 holds on the year (22nd in the league). Rangers relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 95 times as well as having 89 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rangers have converted 70.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,205 innings on the field, which ranks them 4th in baseball. The Texas Rangers have notched a total of 2,735 putouts this season, as well as 915 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which has them ranked 6th in the majors, and have earned 94 double plays.

Dunning has taken the mound for 407 innings and has 350 K's so far in his MLB career. Dunning (19-21 career record) has a FIP of 4.20 and he has gone up against 1,739 batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.11 (186 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.342. He has surrendered 401 base knocks (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 145 free passes.

The San Diego Padres have earned an OBP of .325 in addition to a batting average of .235 so far this season. They have been rung up on 864 occasions (19th in MLB) and have earned 803 base knocks. San Diego has compiled 131 HRs on the season as well as 445 runs batted in. The Padres have a slugging percentage of .409 and they have an average of 4.51 runs per game (16th in baseball). They have 181 two-baggers, while getting a free base 429 times as well as earning 465 runs.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.257 in addition to having a FIP of 4.27 as a staff over the course of the season. They are currently ranked 5th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 809. The San Diego pitching staff have conceded 414 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.78 (384 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (896 strikeouts vs 341 walks). They have given up 117 homers and they concede 4.07 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB).

San Diego has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 46 save chances and they have converted 26 saves. They are ranked 24th in baseball with a save percentage of 56.5%, and they have sent 326 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 103 times in high leverage situations in addition to 75 occasions with runners on. San Diego relievers have an inherited score rate of 35.3% of 116 inherited runners. With 105 save situations, the Padres have 59 holds and also 20 blown saves.

In 8,238 innings on the diamond, the Padres hold a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (5th in MLB). The San Diego Padres have gotten 88 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in baseball). The Padres have recorded 935 assists, 41 errors and have accounted for 2,746 putouts on the season.

In his MLB career, Musgrove has allowed 872 base knocks while he has tallied 944 K's in 950 frames. He has surrendered 395 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.167 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.98 and he has faced 3,951 batters so far in his career. Musgrove (59-57 record in his career) has earned a 3.74 earned run average while conceding 8.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Texas (+170)

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