Texas Rangers vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs New York Mets

Date: Monday, August 28, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

Citi Field is where the New York Mets (59-71) will take on the Texas Rangers (73-56) on Monday. The expected starting pitchers are Jon Gray and Tylor Megill.

The Rangers have accounted for 277 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 180 baseballs out of the park. Texas has a slugging percentage of .458 and have been called out on strikes 1,128 times, while taking a walk on 455 occasions. As a team, the Texas Rangers are notching 5.6 runs/g, which puts them at 3rd in the league. They have accounted for 691 runs batted in as well as 1,206 hits on the campaign, while their team batting average is .269. They have accumulated 721 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .339.

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The Rangers have an earned run average of 4.12 on the year (14th in the league), and they have rung up 1,060 hitters. Rangers pitchers have surrendered 147 home runs and 548 runs in total (8th in the league). They have walked 374 batters and their FIP is 4.18 as a team on the year. Texas has conceded 1,034 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 522 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.83 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.23.

The Rangers have dispatched 352 relievers to the hill this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 192 runners on the year and 30.2% of them ended up scoring. They have earned 24 saves so far this season and have blown 23 out of their 47 save opportunities. The Rangers relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 51.1% and has entered the game in 109 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 61 holds on the campaign (23rd in MLB). Rangers bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 115 times as well as having 112 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Texas Rangers have earned a total of 3,423 putouts this year, as well as 1,146 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .989 which ranks 3rd in professional baseball, and have a total of 118 double plays. The Rangers have converted 70.5% of balls in play into outs in their 10,269 innings on the field, which has them ranked 3rd in pro baseball.

Gray (68-63 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.92 and he has gone up against 4,615 batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 1,053 base knocks (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 363 free passes. His earned run average is 4.42 (534 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.301. Gray has pitched in 1,088 innings and has accumulated 1,094 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

The New York Mets have earned an on-base percentage of .317 and a batting average of .237 so far this year. They have been rung up on 1,039 occasions (24th in baseball) and have recorded 1,016 hits. New York has hit 167 HRs so far this year and 552 RBIs. The Mets hold a team slugging % of .401 and they score 4.38 runs per contest (20th in baseball). They have 174 doubles, while taking a walk 440 times and notching 569 runs.

The New York pitching staff have given up 609 runs for the year while having an ERA of 4.49 (566 earned runs yielded). They have surrendered 161 homers and they allow 4.83 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.383 in addition to having a FIP of 4.62 as a unit this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (1,104 strikeouts against 484 free passes). They come in at 18th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,085.

Sitting with 117 save situations, the Mets have 71 holds and also 14 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 42 save opportunities and they have earned 28 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 116 times in high leverage situations and on 131 occasions with base runners. New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 29.5% of 193 inherited runners. They rank 12th in baseball with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have sent 430 relievers to the hill for the season.

The New York Mets have turned 112 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in the majors). The Mets have accrued 1,131 assists, 70 errors and have a tally of 3,403 putouts during this campaign. In 10,209 innings on the field, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (18th in the majors).

Megill (15-15 career win-loss record) has a 5.05 earned run average while allowing 9.7 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.60 and he has faced 1,002 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has conceded 128 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.452 and a FIP of 4.7. In his pro baseball career, Megill has surrendered 245 base hits and he has 224 K's in 228 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York

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