Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/6/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, July 6, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (-120) Boston (+100)

The Boston Red Sox (43-43) host the Texas Rangers (51-35) at Fenway Park on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has Texas at -120 while Boston is coming in at +100. The total comes in at 10. The expected starting pitchers will be Nathan Eovaldi and Kutter Crawford.

The Rangers have compiled 189 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 118 balls out of the park. Texas has a slugging % of .460 and have been called out on strikes 749 times, while being walked on 299 occasions. As a squad, the Texas Rangers are compiling 5.9 runs per game, which puts them at 1st in the league. They have tallied 490 runs batted in in addition to 830 hits for the year, while their batting average is sitting at .274. They have tallied 511 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .343.

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The Rangers hold a team ERA of 3.89 this season (9th in the league), and their staff has struck out 699 hitters. Rangers pitchers have allowed 90 home runs in addition to 352 runs in total (7th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 243 batters and their FIP sits at 4.08 as a unit on the campaign. Texas has surrendered 666 base knocks (7.8 per 9 innings) and also 330 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.88 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.19.

Rangers relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 79 times as well as having 69 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 39 holds on the season (23rd in baseball). The Rangers bullpen have a save percentage of 51.6% and has entered the game in 71 save situations. They have earned 16 saves on the season and have blown 15 of 31 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 128 runners for the year and 28.9% of those players earned a run for their team. The Rangers have sent 234 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Rangers have converted 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,879 innings, which has them sitting at 1st in pro baseball. The Texas Rangers have amassed 2,293 putouts this year, in addition to 766 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which puts them in 6th in professional baseball, and have a total of 77 double plays.

Eovaldi (77-71 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.77 while he has faced 5,785 hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 1,391 base hits (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 383 free passes. His ERA is 4.03 (614 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.295. Eovaldi has taken the hill for 1,370 innings and has accounted for 1,166 K's so far in his career.

The Boston Red Sox are sitting with an on-base percentage of .329 and a batting average of .260 so far this season. They have struck out on 709 occasions (19th in MLB) and are sitting with 768 base knocks. Boston has accumulated 90 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 398 runs batted in. The Red Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .424 and they are earning 4.84 runs per contest (8th in baseball). They have tallied 192 doubles, while taking a walk 274 times and scoring 416 runs.

The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 407 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.42 (373 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 111 HR's and they surrender 4.82 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league). The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.296 in addition to having a FIP of 4.40 as a unit this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (730 strikeouts vs 248 walks). They rank 22nd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 737.

Sitting with 68 save situations, the Red Sox have accumulated 37 holds and 8 blown saves. Boston has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 31 save chances and they have walked away with 23 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 70 times in high leverage situations and on 56 occasions with runners on. Boston relievers have an inherited score percentage of 32.9% out of their 85 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 4th in the league with a save rate of 74.2%, and they have dispatched 259 relief pitchers onto the field so far this year.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 71 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (29th in baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 762 assists, 57 errors and have earned a total of 2,280 putouts on the campaign. In 6,840 innings on the field, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (19th in pro baseball).

Crawford (6-11 mark in his career) has earned a 5.07 ERA while conceding 9.0 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.12 and he has gone up against 579 hitters in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 77 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.317 and a FIP of 4.4. Thus far in his career, Crawford has conceded 137 base knocks while he has tallied 134 strikeouts in 136 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (+100)

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