Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 10/7/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Saturday, October 7, 2023

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+115) Baltimore (-140)

The Texas Rangers (90-72) are headed to Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Baltimore Orioles (101-61) in Game 1 of the ALDS. The odds on this game have Texas at +115 while Baltimore is sitting at -140. The over/under is 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Dane Dunning and Kyle Bradish.

Texas has a slugging rate of .452 and have been rung up 1,416 times, while taking a walk on 599 occasions. They have accumulated 845 runs batted in as well as 1,470 base knocks this year, while their batting average is .263. The Rangers have accrued 326 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 233 balls out of the park. They have tallied 881 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .337. As a squad, the Texas Rangers are scoring 5.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 3rd in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.75 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.27. Rangers pitchers have surrendered 198 home runs in addition to 716 total runs (14th in MLB). Texas has yielded 1,330 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 683 earned runs. The Rangers have compiled a team earned run average of 4.28 on the campaign (18th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,351 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 491 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.32 as a squad on the season.

The Rangers have dispatched 467 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 273 base runners this year and 31.5% of them crossed the plate. They have tallied 30 saves for the season and have blown 33 of 63 chances to save the game. The Rangers relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 47.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 146 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 80 holds on the season (20th in the league). Rangers relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 163 times and also have had 160 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rangers have converted 70.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,927 innings on the field, which has them ranked 4th in the majors. The Texas Rangers have a tally of 4,309 putouts this season, as well as 1,423 assists and 57 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .990 which is 2nd in professional baseball, and have accumulated 143 double plays.

Dunning (23-25 career record) has a FIP of 4.23 while he has gone up against 2,046 hitters in the majors. He has allowed 472 base hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has 173 walks. His ERA is 4.16 (221 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.350. Dunning has thrown 477 innings and has earned 426 K's so far in his pro baseball career.

The Baltimore Orioles have accumulated an on-base percentage of .321 in addition to a team batting average of .255 this year. They have been rung up on 1,370 occasions (19th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,399 base hits. Baltimore has knocked in 183 long balls this season as well as 780 runs batted in. The Orioles hold a team SLG% of .421 and they average 4.98 runs per contest (7th in the league). They have notched 309 two-baggers, while getting a free base 512 times as well as putting up 807 runs.

The Orioles have a team WHIP of 1.243 in addition to having a FIP of 3.98 as a pitching staff so far this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (1,431 strikeouts against 473 free passes). They are currently ranked 14th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,334. They have yielded 177 long balls and they allow 4.20 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The Baltimore pitching staff have allowed 678 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.90 (629 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 191 save situations, the Orioles have compiled 108 holds in addition to 31 blown saves. Baltimore has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 80 save opportunities and they have walked away with 49 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 205 times in high leverage situations and on 197 occasions with base runners. Baltimore relievers have an inherited score percentage of 33.9% of 289 inherited base runners. They are ranked 17th in MLB holding a save rate of 61.3%, and they have dispatched 560 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

In 13,083 innings played, the Orioles are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (12th in professional baseball). The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 140 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (5th in MLB). The Orioles have 1,444 assists, 71 errors and have accumulated 4,361 putouts on the campaign.

In his pro baseball career, Bradish has surrendered 251 base hits while he has accumulated 279 punch outs in 286 frames. He has surrendered a total of 117 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.191 and a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.10 and he has gone up against 1,180 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. Bradish (16-14 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.68 earned run average while giving up 7.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Texas (+115)

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