Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Friday, September 29, 2023

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

The Tampa Bay Rays (97-62) are on their way to Rogers Centre on Friday where they will try to defeat the Toronto Blue Jays (87-71). The men taking the mound will be Aaron Civale and Hyun Jin Ryu.

As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are knocking in 5.3 runs per contest, which has them at 4th in MLB. They have notched a total of 832 runs and have an on-base percentage of .330. The Rays have tallied 271 doubles as a squad and have hit 223 balls out of the stadium. They have recorded 800 runs batted in and 1,385 base knocks this season, while their team batting average sits at .258. Tampa Bay has a slugging rate of .443 and have been rung up 1,390 times, while drawing a walk on 501 occasions.

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The Rays have compiled a team ERA of 3.85 this season (5th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,467 batters. Rays pitchers have relinquished 172 long balls and also 641 total runs (3rd in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 425 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.80 as a team this year. Tampa Bay has relinquished 1,220 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 601 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.45 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.17.

Rays relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 119 times as well as having 160 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 78 holds so far this year (21st in MLB). The Rays relievers have earned a save percentage of 59.2% and stepped onto the hill in 155 save situations. They have accumulated 45 saves on the campaign and have blown 31 out of their 76 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 179 base runners for the year with 29.1% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Rays have dispatched 519 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The Rays have turned 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,654 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 4th in MLB. The Tampa Bay Rays have a total of 4,218 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,373 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which has them sitting 6th in baseball, and they have twisted 112 double plays.

Civale has taken the ball for 473 innings and has racked up 425 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Civale (31-25 career mark) has a FIP of 3.98 while he has faced 1,939 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.91 (206 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.161. He has conceded 434 base hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 116 free passes.

Toronto has knocked in 180 home runs on the year as well as 679 runs batted in. They have 282 doubles, while getting a free base 536 times and notching 716 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have an on-base percentage of .328 and a batting average of .255 so far this season. The Blue Jays hold a team slugging % of .414 and they score 4.56 runs per outing (16th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,264 occasions (24th in the league) and have accounted for 1,373 base hits.

The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.242 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.06 as a squad this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.50 (1,478 strikeouts vs 472 free passes). They are sitting at 8th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,273. They have conceded 191 HR's and they relinquish 4.11 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). The Toronto pitching staff have conceded 642 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 3.73 (582 earned runs surrendered).

With 175 save situations, the Blue Jays have earned 106 holds and also 18 blown saves. Toronto has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 69 save opportunities and they have come away with 51 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 189 times in high leverage situations and on 165 occasions with runners on. Toronto relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 22.6% out of their 235 inherited base runners. They sit at 1st in the league holding a save rate of 73.9%, and they have dispatched 531 relief pitchers onto the diamond this year.

Out of their 12,651 innings played, the Blue Jays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (12th in baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 121 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in MLB). The Blue Jays have accrued 1,262 assists, 70 errors and have earned a total of 4,217 putouts for the year.

Ryu (78-48 career record) has a 3.27 ERA and has surrendered 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.95 and he has faced 4,323 hitters during his career. He has allowed 382 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.180 and having a FIP of 3.5. So far in his career, Ryu has given up 1,006 hits while totaling 933 strikeouts in 1,052 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Toronto

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