Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 6/18/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres

Date: Sunday, June 18, 2023

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+130) San Diego (-150)

Petco Park is the site where the San Diego Padres (33-36) will go up against the Tampa Bay Rays (51-22) on Sunday. The line on this contest has the Rays at +130 while the Padres are at -150. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Yonny Chirinos and Joe Musgrove.

As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are scoring 5.6 runs/g, which ranks them 2nd in MLB. They have earned 411 runs and have an OBP of .338. The Rays have tallied 137 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 117 baseballs out of the stadium. They have recorded 393 RBI's in addition to 647 base knocks so far this season, while their batting average is .264. Tampa Bay has a slugging percentage of .472 and have struck out 614 times, while drawing a walk on 245 occasions.

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The Rays are sitting with a team ERA of 3.51 on the season (2nd in MLB), and they have rung up 625 batters. Rays pitchers have allowed 70 long balls in addition to 265 runs in total (2nd in the league). They have walked 239 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.01 as a team on the year. Tampa Bay has yielded 536 base hits (7.5 per 9 innings) and 252 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.62 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.20.

Rays bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 61 times in addition to having 74 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have tallied 43 holds this season (7th in the league). The Rays bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 60.5% and has entered the game in 81 save situations. They have tallied 23 saves so far this season and have blown 15 of 38 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 96 base runners on the campaign and 26.0% of those runners crossed home plate. The Rays have dispatched 238 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Tampa Bay Rays have a tally of 1,938 putouts for the season, in addition to 683 assists and 29 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .989 which puts them in 4th in MLB, and have a total of 65 double plays. The Rays have converted 71.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 5,814 innings, which has them sitting at 1st in baseball.

Chirinos has taken the ball for 279 innings and has earned 222 strikeouts so far in his career. His earned run average is 3.38 (105 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.112. He has surrendered 241 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 70 free passes. Chirinos (18-11 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.13 while he has gone up against 1,132 batters during his time in the majors.

The San Diego Padres have a team OBP of .320 and a team batting average of .229 for the year. They have been called out on strikes on 602 instances (17th in baseball) and have earned a total of 518 hits. San Diego is sitting with 83 home runs this season as well as 279 runs batted in. The Padres have a team slugging % of .398 and they score 4.25 runs per contest (22nd in baseball). They have recorded 123 two-baggers, while walking 287 times and recording 293 runs.

The San Diego pitching staff have yielded 272 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.80 (259 earned runs given up). They have allowed 75 homers and they allow 3.99 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.230 in addition to having a FIP of 4.15 as a squad on the campaign. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (591 strikeouts vs 222 walks). They rank 2nd in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 532.

San Diego has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 29 save chances and they have earned 18 saves. They are ranked 17th in MLB holding a save percentage of 62.1%, and they have sent 212 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 69 times in high leverage situations and also on 45 occasions with base runners. San Diego relievers have an inherited score percentage of 36.1% out of 72 inherited runners. Sitting with 68 save situations, the Padres have compiled 39 holds in addition to 11 blown saves.

In their 5,517 innings played, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (3rd in baseball). The San Diego Padres have turned 57 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .990 (1st in baseball). The Padres have racked up 616 assists, 24 errors and have a total of 1,839 putouts for the year.

Musgrove (54-56 career mark) has earned a 3.82 earned run average and has given up 8.3 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.88 and he has faced 3,781 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 385 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.177 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. In his pro baseball career, Musgrove has given up 835 hits while he has totaled 899 strikeouts in 906 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-150)

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