Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/31/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees

Date: Monday, July 31, 2023

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

The Tampa Bay Rays (62-43) are on their way to Yankee Stadium on Monday where they will go up against the New York Yankees (54-48). The men taking the mound will be Zach Eflin and Domingo German.

As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are notching 5.2 runs per game, which is 4th in baseball. They have tallied 545 runs and hold an OBP of .327. The Rays have hit 184 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 150 balls out of the park. They have earned 522 RBI's in addition to 896 base knocks on the campaign, and their team batting average comes in at .255. Tampa Bay has a slugging % of .444 and have struck out 899 times, while taking a walk on 333 occasions.

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The Rays have a team ERA of 3.70 over the course of the season (1st in MLB), and they have struck out 945 batters. Rays pitchers have given up 108 long balls and also 404 runs in total (1st in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 313 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.91 as a team for the season. Tampa Bay has surrendered 782 base hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and 382 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.02 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.18.

The Rays relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 62.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 94 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 122 runners on the year and 23.0% of them ended up scoring. Rays relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 80 times and also have had 101 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have sent 340 relievers to the hill on the season. The relievers have a total of 49 holds on the campaign (20th in baseball). They have earned 28 saves on the season and have blown 17 out of their 45 save opportunities.

The Rays have transformed 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,358 innings on the diamond, ranking them 1st in the majors. The Tampa Bay Rays have accumulated 2,786 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 951 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .989 which ranks 2nd in baseball, and have accumulated 79 double plays.

Eflin has taken the hill for 775 frames and is sitting with 668 K's during his pro baseball career. Eflin (47-51 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.16 and he has gone up against 3,265 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.36 (376 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.254. He has surrendered 796 hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 177 walks.

New York has recorded 141 HRs for the season as well as 428 RBIs. They have hit 135 doubles, while taking a walk 324 times as well as racking up 446 runs. The New York Yankees hold an OBP of .302 in addition to a team batting average of .230 on the year. The Yankees hold a slugging percentage of .404 and they are earning 4.37 runs per game (21st in the league). They have been rung up on 830 occasions (22nd in baseball) and have tallied 769 base hits.

The Yankees have a team WHIP of 1.248 in addition to having a FIP of 4.36 as a unit this year. They are sitting at 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 799. The New York pitching staff have allowed 435 runs this year while having a team ERA of 3.89 (393 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.80 (895 strikeouts vs 337 free passes). They have surrendered 122 home runs and they give up 4.30 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league).

New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 36.2% of 174 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 125 times in high leverage situations and on 118 occasions with base runners. With 105 save situations, the Yankees have accrued 59 holds and also 15 blown saves. They are currently ranked 11th in the league with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 329 relief pitchers to the mound this season. New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 45 save opportunities and they have come away with 30 saves.

The New York Yankees have gotten 67 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in MLB). The Yankees have recorded 898 assists, 61 errors and have a total of 2,731 putouts for the year. In 8,193 innings played, the Yankees hold a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (3rd in pro baseball).

So far in his career, German has given up 452 base hits while tallying 539 strikeouts in 517 innings pitched. German (31-28 career record) has a 4.45 ERA while allowing 7.9 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 256 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.181 and a FIP of 4.5. His K/BB ratio is 3.39 and he has gone up against 2,165 opposing hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay

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