Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 9/11/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Monday, September 11, 2023

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Bally Sports North

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-110) Minnesota (-110)

The Tampa Bay Rays (88-56) are en route to Target Field on Monday where they will compete against the Minnesota Twins (75-67). The line on this contest has the Rays at -110 while the Twins are sitting at -110. The betting total comes in at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Tyler Glasnow and Sonny Gray.

Tampa Bay has a slugging % of .444 and have been called out on strikes 1,253 times, while drawing a walk on 460 occasions. They have earned 728 runs batted in in addition to 1,244 base knocks on the season, and their batting average sits at .258. The Rays have accumulated 240 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 206 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 760 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .331. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are putting up 5.3 runs per outing, which puts them at 4th in MLB.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.30 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.18. Rays pitchers have conceded 150 home runs and also 568 total runs (1st in the league). Tampa Bay has surrendered 1,102 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 534 earned runs. The Rays have compiled a team earned run average of 3.78 so far this year (3rd in MLB), and they have struck out 1,294 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 392 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.80 as a unit for the year.

Rays relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 109 times as well as having 141 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 65 holds this year (26th in baseball). The Rays relievers have a save percentage of 59.7% and has entered the game in 133 save situations. They have accumulated 40 saves over the course of the season and have blown 27 out of their 67 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 164 runners over the course of the season with 26.8% of those players crossed the plate. The Rays have dispatched 467 relievers to the hill this season.

The Rays have converted 70.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 11,442 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 3rd in pro baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have accounted for 3,814 putouts this year, as well as 1,264 assists and 60 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which has them sitting 5th in professional baseball, and they have turned 103 double plays.

Glasnow has pitched in 815 innings and has racked up 710 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Glasnow (49-53 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.13 while going up against 3,420 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.30 (389 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.244. He has given up 833 hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) and has 181 free passes.

Minnesota has 201 home runs on the campaign to go along with 637 RBIs. They have recorded 239 two-baggers, while taking a walk 502 times and putting up 664 runs. The Minnesota Twins have recorded an OBP of .323 in addition to a batting average of .243 for the season. The Twins have a team slugging % of .426 and they are scoring 4.68 runs per game (13th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,457 occasions (1st in the league) and have earned a total of 1,168 base hits.

The Twins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.207 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.99 as a staff so far this year. They rank 6th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,137. The Minnesota pitching staff have surrendered 588 runs this season while holding an ERA of 3.93 (555 earned runs conceded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.40 (1,327 strikeouts against 398 bases on balls). They have allowed 171 HR's and they give up 4.16 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball).

Minnesota has had relief pitchers enter the game in 60 save opportunities and they have tallied 33 saves. They are currently ranked 23rd in the league with a save rate of 55.0%, and they have dispatched 429 relievers onto the diamond so far this season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 167 times in high leverage situations in addition to 109 occasions with runners on. Minnesota relievers have an inherited score rate of 29.5% out of 146 inherited base runners. With 137 save situations, the Twins have 75 holds in addition to 27 blown saves.

In 11,448 innings on the field, the Twins have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.0% (7th in baseball). The Minnesota Twins have turned 105 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .988 (6th in baseball). The Twins have accrued 1,120 assists, 61 errors and have amassed 3,816 putouts so far this season.

During his MLB career, Gray has given up 530 hits while tallying 844 K's in 686 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 253 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.060 and having a FIP of 3.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.26 and he has faced 2,778 batters in his career. Gray (44-27 career mark) has a 3.32 ERA while surrendering 6.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-110)

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