Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins

Date: Tuesday, August 29, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+120) Miami (-142)

The Miami Marlins (66-65) will go up against the Tampa Bay Rays (80-52) at loanDepot park on Tuesday. The odds on this game have the Rays at +120 and the Marlins are at -142. The over/under is 7.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Aaron Civale and Sandy Alcantara.

The Rays have hit 223 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 191 balls out of the park. Tampa Bay owns a slugging percentage of .447 and have been called out on strikes 1,151 times, while taking a walk on 414 occasions. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are recording 5.3 runs per game, which ranks them 4th in the league. They have recorded 674 RBI's and 1,158 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average is .260. They have earned 704 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .331.

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The Rays hold a team earned run average of 3.87 so far this season (6th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,181 batters. Rays pitchers have allowed 141 home runs and 530 runs in total (3rd in baseball). They have walked 368 opposing players and their FIP is 3.88 as a unit so far this season. Tampa Bay has given up 1,021 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 503 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.21 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19.

The Rays relievers have recorded a save percentage of 62.1% and stepped onto the hill in 115 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 149 runners this season with 27.5% of them earned a run for their team. Rays relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 95 times and also have had 122 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have dispatched 427 relievers to the mound this year. The relievers have recorded 56 holds so far this season (27th in baseball). They have compiled 36 saves this year and have blown 22 of 58 save opportunities.

The Rays have turned 70.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 10,518 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 4th in baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have a tally of 3,506 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,175 assists and 55 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .988 which is 5th in the majors, and they have twisted 97 double plays.

Civale has thrown 450 innings and is sitting with 390 strikeouts thus far in his career. Civale (30-24 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.98 while he has faced 1,838 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.76 (188 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.152. He has allowed 410 base knocks (8.2 hits per 9 innings) with 109 free passes.

Miami has compiled 126 HRs so far this season to go along with 500 runs batted in. They have hit 209 doubles, while getting a free base 338 times as well as racking up 526 runs. The Miami Marlins have tallied an OBP of .314 in addition to a batting average of .258 on the year. The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .400 and they are recording 4.02 runs per contest (27th in the league). They have struck out on 1,038 occasions (26th in MLB) and are sitting with 1,148 base hits.

The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 574 runs this season while holding an ERA of 4.15 (535 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 152 homers and they yield 4.45 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.270 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.05 as a squad so far this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.50 (1,225 strikeouts vs 406 walks). They rank 13th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,067.

Miami relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.9% of 182 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 164 times in high leverage situations and on 128 occasions with base runners. With 139 save situations, the Marlins have 80 holds and 25 blown saves. They sit at 22nd in the league holding a save rate of 56.9%, and they have sent 435 bullpen pitchers to the hill this year. Miami has had relievers enter the contest in 58 save opportunities and they have converted 33 saves.

The Miami Marlins have turned 114 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in baseball). The Marlins have accrued 1,150 assists, 76 errors and have 3,481 putouts this year. In 10,443 innings played, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (22nd in pro baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Alcantara has conceded 753 base hits while earning 782 K's in 887 frames. He has given up a total of 326 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.152 and a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.91 and he has gone up against 3,622 opposing hitters so far in his career. Alcantara (40-54 mark in his career) has earned a 3.31 earned run average while conceding 7.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (-142)

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