Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/27/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, September 27, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-120) Boston (+100)

Fenway Park is the site where the Boston Red Sox (76-80) will play the Tampa Bay Rays (95-62) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has the Rays at -120 and the Red Sox are priced at +100. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Tyler Glasnow and Brayan Bello.

Tampa Bay has a slugging rate of .443 and have struck out 1,384 times, while taking a walk on 500 occasions. They have accounted for 791 RBI's as well as 1,372 base knocks for the year, while their batting average is sitting at .258. The Rays have accrued 269 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 222 balls out of the stadium. They have earned a total of 823 runs and have an OBP of .330. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are putting up 5.2 runs per game, which has them at 4th in the league.

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The Rays have compiled a team ERA of 3.83 for the year (5th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,454 hitters. Rays pitchers have given up 171 home runs and also 634 runs in total (2nd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 425 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.81 as a squad on the campaign. Tampa Bay has allowed 1,209 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and also 594 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.42 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.17.

The Rays have sent 515 relievers to the mound for the season. The relievers have inherited 179 base runners on the year with 29.1% of them earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 44 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 31 of 75 save opportunities. The Rays bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 58.7% and has entered the game in 152 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 76 holds so far this season (22nd in MLB). Rays relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 119 times and also have had 158 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Tampa Bay Rays have earned a total of 4,191 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,366 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which is 6th in the majors, and they have turned 112 double plays. The Rays have transformed 70.6% of balls in play into outs out of 12,573 innings on the field, ranking them 3rd in professional baseball.

Glasnow (29-27 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.61 and he has gone up against 2,180 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 425 base hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) and has 211 walks. His earned run average is 3.93 (229 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.212. Glasnow has taken the mound for 524 innings and is sitting with 669 K's in his MLB career.

The Boston Red Sox are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .327 as well as a team batting average of .261 for the year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,301 occasions (20th in the league) and have 1,397 base knocks. Boston is sitting with 180 long balls over the course of the season as well as 719 runs batted in. The Red Sox have a slugging percentage of .430 and they earn 4.83 runs per game (9th in MLB). They have tallied 331 doubles, while getting a free base 474 times as well as scoring 754 runs.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.351 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.42 as a squad on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.00 (1,374 strikeouts against 485 free passes). They come in at 24th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,377. They have given up 204 long balls and they allow 4.92 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league). The Boston pitching staff have conceded 754 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 4.57 (699 earned runs surrendered).

Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 30.9% out of 175 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 147 times in high leverage situations in addition to 115 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 126 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 67 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. They sit at 2nd in baseball with a save percentage of 72.4%, and they have sent 496 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this season. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 58 save opportunities and they have walked away with 42 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 131 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 1,370 assists, 100 errors and have accumulated 4,134 putouts on the season. Out of their 12,402 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.5% (28th in MLB).

Thus far in his career, Bello has surrendered 231 hits while totaling 184 punch outs in 208 frames. Bello (14-18 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.28 earned run average while giving up 10.0 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 99 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.445 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.63 and he has faced 909 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-120)

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