Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/26/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, September 26, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-115) Boston (-105)

Fenway Park is the location where the Boston Red Sox (76-80) will attempt to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (95-62) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has Tampa Bay at -115 while Boston is sitting at -105. The total is 8.5. The men taking the mound are Zach Eflin and Tanner Houck.

As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are knocking in 5.2 runs per game, which has them at 4th in the league. They are sitting with 823 runs while holding a team OBP of .330. The Rays have recorded 269 doubles as a squad and have smacked 222 balls out of the park. They have recorded 791 runs batted in and 1,372 hits for the season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .258. Tampa Bay has a slugging rate of .443 and have struck out 1,384 times, while taking a walk on 500 occasions.

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The Rays have an earned run average of 3.83 for the year (4th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,454 batters. Rays pitchers have given up 171 long balls and also 634 runs in total (2nd in baseball). They have walked 425 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.81 as a team on the year. Tampa Bay has yielded 1,209 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 594 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.42 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.17.

Rays bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 119 times and also have had 158 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 76 holds so far this year (21st in MLB). The Rays relievers have earned a save percentage of 58.7% and stepped onto the hill in 152 save situations. They have recorded 44 saves so far this season and have blown 31 out of their 75 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 179 runners on the year and 29.1% of those runners crossed the plate. The Rays have dispatched 515 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The Tampa Bay Rays have a tally of 4,191 putouts for the season, in addition to 1,366 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which puts them in 6th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 112 double plays. The Rays have converted 70.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,573 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 3rd in MLB.

Eflin has taken the ball for 832 innings and has tallied 734 punch outs during his MLB career. Eflin (51-53 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.08 and he has gone up against 3,488 batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.27 (395 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.239. He has allowed 847 hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 184 free passes.

The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .430 and they average 4.83 runs per outing (9th in baseball). They have tallied 331 doubles, while taking a walk 474 times and putting up 754 runs. Boston has knocked in 180 HRs on the campaign to go along with 719 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,301 occasions (20th in the league) and have earned 1,397 hits. The Boston Red Sox have an on-base percentage of .327 as well as a team batting average of .261 so far this season.

The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.351 in addition to having a FIP of 4.42 as a pitching staff on the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,374 strikeouts vs 485 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 24th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,377. They have surrendered 204 home runs and they surrender 4.92 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league). The Boston pitching staff have conceded 754 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 4.57 (699 earned runs relinquished).

Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.9% out of their 175 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 147 times in high leverage situations and on 115 occasions with base runners. With 126 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 67 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. They are currently ranked 2nd in MLB with a save rate of 72.4%, and they have dispatched 496 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the year. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 58 save opportunities and they have come away with 42 saves.

In 12,402 innings on the field, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 67.5% (28th in MLB). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 131 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 1,370 assists, 100 errors and have earned a total of 4,134 putouts so far this season.

In his MLB career, Houck has given up 205 base knocks while accumulating 255 punch outs in 243 innings pitched. Houck (14-18 career mark) holds a 3.78 earned run average while surrendering 7.6 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 102 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.214 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. His K/BB ratio is 2.83 and he has gone up against 1,016 batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-115)

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