Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, June 4, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+100) Boston (-120)

The Tampa Bay Rays (40-19) are en route to Fenway Park on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Boston Red Sox (30-27). The line on this matchup has Tampa Bay at +100 and Boston is sitting at -120. The over/under comes in at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Taj Bradley and Brayan Bello.

The Rays have hit 102 doubles as a squad and have knocked 103 balls out of the stadium. Tampa Bay has a slugging percentage of .486 and have struck out 483 times, while being walked on 197 occasions. As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are knocking in 5.9 runs per outing, which puts them at 2nd in MLB. They have 327 RBI's as well as 523 base knocks this season, and their team batting average is at .267. They have 340 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .343.

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The Rays have an ERA of 3.69 so far this year (6th in the league), and their staff has rung up 485 hitters. Rays pitchers have conceded 60 long balls and 221 runs in total (4th in the league). They have walked 181 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.11 as a squad on the campaign. Tampa Bay has conceded 443 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 211 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.68 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.21.

The Rays have dispatched 188 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 71 runners this year with 31.0% of them ended up scoring. They have tallied 17 saves for the year and have blown 11 out of their 28 chances to get a save. The Rays bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 60.7% and has come into the game in 57 save situations. The relievers have accumulated 29 holds on the campaign (18th in the league). Rays pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 45 times as well as having 54 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rays have turned 71.5% of balls in play into outs out of 4,626 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 1st in pro baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have earned 1,542 putouts thus far, as well as 552 assists and 22 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .990 which is 4th in MLB, and they have twisted 48 double plays.

Bradley has taken the mound for 30 frames and has tallied 42 punch outs during his career. Bradley (3-2 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 2.82 while facing 122 hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.60 (12 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.067. He has given up 27 hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) with 5 free passes.

The Boston Red Sox have compiled an OBP of .333 and a team batting average of .264 on the campaign. They have struck out on 446 instances (26th in the league) and have 507 base hits. Boston has 65 home runs this year and 282 RBIs. The Red Sox hold a team slugging % of .436 and they have an average of 5.23 runs per outing (4th in MLB). They have put up 126 two-baggers, while getting a free base 181 times as well as scoring 293 runs.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.317 in addition to having a FIP of 4.58 as a squad on the campaign. They sit at 18th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 480. The Boston pitching staff have allowed 278 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 4.65 (254 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.70 (474 strikeouts against 168 bases on balls). They have allowed 77 dingers and they relinquish 5.09 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB).

Sitting with 49 save situations, the Red Sox have tallied 28 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 21 save chances and they have converted 14 saves. Their relievers have come in 40 times in high leverage situations and also on 25 occasions with base runners. Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 40.0% out of their 40 inherited base runners. They sit at 12th in the league holding a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 172 relievers onto the diamond this season.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 40 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (26th in the majors). The Red Sox have recorded 479 assists, 35 errors and have a total of 1,476 putouts for the season. In 4,428 innings on the field, the Red Sox have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.9% (16th in baseball).

Bello (5-11 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.38 ERA and has given up 11.1 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.34 and he has faced 445 opposing batters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed 47 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.655 and having a FIP of 3.7. In his pro baseball career, Bello has surrendered 119 hits while earning 96 punch outs in 96 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+100)

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