Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/17/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Sunday, September 17, 2023

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+114) Baltimore (-135)

The Baltimore Orioles (91-56) will try to beat the Tampa Bay Rays (92-57) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has Tampa Bay at +114 and Baltimore is sitting at -135. The over/under comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Zack Littell and Dean Kremer.

The Rays have recorded 255 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 213 baseballs out of the park. Tampa Bay has a slugging rate of .446 and have struck out 1,304 times, while drawing a walk on 473 occasions. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are scoring 5.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 4th in the league. They have accounted for 759 RBI's as well as 1,303 hits this season, while their team batting average sits at .259. They have notched a total of 791 runs while having a team OBP of .331.

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The Rays have a team ERA of 3.75 over the course of the season (2nd in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,368 hitters. Rays pitchers have allowed 159 home runs and 586 runs in total (1st in MLB). They have walked 405 batters and their FIP is 3.79 as a team for the season. Tampa Bay has given up 1,134 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 552 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.38 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.16.

Rays relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 112 times in addition to having 148 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 73 holds this year (21st in baseball). The Rays relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 62.0% and stepped onto the hill in 145 save situations. They have recorded 44 saves on the season and have not converted 27 of their 71 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 169 runners over the course of the season and 27.2% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Rays have dispatched 487 relievers to the mound on the campaign.

The Rays have turned 70.8% of balls in play into outs out of 11,919 innings on the field, ranking them 2nd in the majors. The Tampa Bay Rays have 3,973 putouts this year, in addition to 1,296 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which has them ranked 5th in professional baseball, and have 108 double plays.

Littell has taken the ball for 248 innings and has 215 strikeouts thus far in his career. Littell (16-11 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.51 and he has faced 1,044 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.14 (114 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.274. He has surrendered 247 base knocks (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has 69 free passes.

The Baltimore Orioles are sitting with an OBP of .322 and a batting average of .257 this season. They have struck out on 1,223 occasions (20th in the league) and are sitting with 1,282 hits. Baltimore has tallied 173 home runs for the year and 721 runs batted in. The Orioles have a team slugging percentage of .427 and they have an average of 5.07 runs per contest (6th in MLB). They have recorded 281 two-baggers, while getting a free base 466 times and recording 745 runs.

The Baltimore pitching staff have relinquished 632 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.05 (594 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 167 home runs and they relinquish 4.31 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The Orioles have a team WHIP of 1.265 with a FIP of 4.03 as a staff over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.90 (1,310 strikeouts against 432 walks). They rank 18th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,237.

Baltimore relievers have an inherited score percentage of 35.2% of 256 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 181 times in high leverage situations and on 176 occasions with base runners. With 174 save situations, the Orioles have earned 99 holds in addition to 28 blown saves. They rank 19th in the league with a save percentage of 61.1%, and they have sent 503 relievers onto the diamond on the campaign. Baltimore has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 72 save opportunities and they have recorded 44 saves.

The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 129 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .989 (4th in MLB). The Orioles have recorded 1,301 assists, 59 errors and have amassed 3,957 putouts over the course of the season. In 11,871 innings played, the Orioles have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (16th in pro baseball).

Thus far in his career, Kremer has allowed 361 base knocks while earning 297 punch outs in 356 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 175 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.351 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.45 and he has gone up against 1,515 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Kremer (21-20 career mark) is the owner of a 4.42 earned run average and has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+114)

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