Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/16/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Saturday, September 16, 2023

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-108) Baltimore (-112)

The Baltimore Orioles (91-55) will compete against the Tampa Bay Rays (91-57) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday. The line on this matchup has Tampa Bay at -108 while Baltimore is opening at -112. The over/under has been set at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Tyler Glasnow and Grayson Rodriguez.

As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are putting up 5.3 runs per contest, which ranks them 4th in baseball. They have accumulated 784 runs while holding a team OBP of .331. The Rays have accumulated 251 doubles as a squad and have hit 211 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 752 runs batted in as well as 1,290 hits on the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .258. Tampa Bay is slugging .444 and have been called out on strikes 1,298 times, while drawing a walk on 472 occasions.

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The Rays hold a team ERA of 3.77 for the season (2nd in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,355 hitters. Rays pitchers have conceded 158 home runs and 585 total runs (1st in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 404 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.80 as a unit on the year. Tampa Bay has allowed 1,132 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 551 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.35 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.17.

The Rays have sent 485 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 169 base runners this year with 27.2% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have earned 44 saves this year and have blown 27 of their 71 chances to get a save. The Rays relievers have a save percentage of 62.0% and stepped onto the hill in 145 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 73 holds on the season (19th in MLB). Rays relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 112 times and also have had 148 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rays have converted 70.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,838 innings on the field, ranking them 3rd in professional baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have accumulated 3,946 putouts on the year, as well as 1,289 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which puts them in 5th in the majors, and have accumulated 107 double plays.

Glasnow has thrown 515 innings and has earned 658 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Glasnow (29-25 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.60 and he has gone up against 2,136 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.82 (219 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.201. He has surrendered 414 hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 205 walks.

The Baltimore Orioles have accounted for an OBP of .324 as well as a team batting average of .258 for the season. They have been rung up on 1,210 occasions (20th in baseball) and have notched a total of 1,280 base hits. Baltimore has recorded 172 home runs on the year to go along with 720 runs batted in. The Orioles hold a slugging percentage of .429 and they tally 5.10 runs per contest (6th in baseball). They have hit 281 two-baggers, while walking 465 times as well as notching 744 runs.

The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.263 and have a FIP of 4.02 as a pitching staff so far this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,304 strikeouts against 431 walks). They rank 18th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,224. They have surrendered 165 long balls and they concede 4.29 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The Baltimore pitching staff have surrendered 625 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.03 (587 earned runs yielded).

With 174 save situations, the Orioles have 99 holds and also 28 blown saves. Baltimore has called on relievers to enter the game in 72 save chances and they have tallied 44 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 181 times in high leverage situations in addition to 174 occasions with runners on base. Baltimore bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.5% out of their 252 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 19th in baseball with a save percentage of 61.1%, and they have dispatched 499 relievers to the mound this season.

In 11,790 innings played, the Orioles have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (16th in MLB). The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 128 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in the majors). The Orioles have accrued 1,290 assists, 59 errors and have accounted for 3,930 putouts on the season.

Rodriguez (5-4 career mark) is the owner of a 4.88 earned run average and has given up 9.1 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.82 and he has gone up against 442 hitters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 56 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.394 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. So far in his pro baseball career, Rodriguez has surrendered 105 base hits while tallying 110 punch outs in 103 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baltimore (-112)

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