Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/15/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Friday, September 15, 2023

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-112) Baltimore (-108)

The Baltimore Orioles (91-54) will try to beat the Tampa Bay Rays (90-57) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has Tampa Bay at -112 and Baltimore is sitting at -108. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Zach Eflin and Jack Flaherty.

Tampa Bay has a slugging rate of .445 and have been called out on strikes 1,292 times, while taking a walk on 472 occasions. They have compiled 748 runs batted in and 1,283 base knocks so far this season, and their batting average is .258. The Rays have accrued 251 doubles as a squad and have hit 210 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 780 runs while holding a team OBP of .331. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are notching 5.3 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 4th in MLB.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.33 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.17. Rays pitchers have surrendered 156 home runs in addition to 582 total runs (1st in baseball). Tampa Bay has yielded 1,128 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 548 earned runs. The Rays have an earned run average of 3.78 for the season (3rd in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,340 hitters. They have walked 403 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.80 as a team on the season.

The Rays relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 61.4% and has stepped onto the mound in 142 save situations. The relievers have inherited 169 base runners so far this season with 27.2% of those runners ended up scoring. Rays bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 112 times and also have had 145 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have dispatched 481 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The relievers have accumulated 71 holds over the course of the season (20th in the league). They have earned 43 saves this year and have blown 27 of 70 chances to get a save.

The Rays have transformed 70.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,757 innings on the field, which ranks them 3rd in MLB. The Tampa Bay Rays have accounted for 3,919 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,284 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which ranks 5th in pro baseball, and have a total of 106 double plays.

Eflin has taken the mound for 820 innings and has 716 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 4.30 (392 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.248. He has allowed 840 hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) and has 183 free passes. Eflin (50-53 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.11 while facing 3,444 hitters in the majors.

The Baltimore Orioles have accounted for an on-base percentage of .325 and a team batting average of .258 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,195 occasions (21st in the league) and have totaled 1,276 base hits. Baltimore has 170 home runs on the year and 717 RBIs. The Orioles hold a team slugging % of .429 and they average 5.11 runs per game (6th in the league). They have 281 doubles, while taking a walk 464 times as well as scoring 741 runs.

The Baltimore pitching staff have surrendered 621 runs on the year while having an ERA of 4.03 (583 earned runs allowed). They have conceded 164 HR's and they relinquish 4.30 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The Orioles are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.267 with a FIP of 4.03 as a team on the campaign. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (1,298 strikeouts vs 431 free passes). They rank 17th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,217.

Sitting with 174 save situations, the Orioles have compiled 99 holds and also 28 blown saves. Baltimore has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 72 save opportunities and they have converted 44 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 181 times in high leverage situations in addition to 174 occasions with base runners. Baltimore relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.5% out of 252 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 19th in MLB holding a save percentage of 61.1%, and they have sent 497 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

Out of their 11,709 innings on the diamond, the Orioles have a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (16th in pro baseball). The Baltimore Orioles have turned 127 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in the majors). The Orioles have recorded 1,281 assists, 59 errors and have earned 3,903 putouts on the season.

During his career, Flaherty has allowed 543 hits while he has accumulated 738 K's in 660 frames. Flaherty (42-33 record in his career) has a 3.73 ERA while allowing 7.4 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 274 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.205 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. His K/BB ratio is 2.92 and he has gone up against 2,756 hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-112)

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