St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Thursday, September 28, 2023

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+130) Milwaukee (-155)

The St. Louis Cardinals (69-88) are on their way to American Family Field on Thursday where they will play the Milwaukee Brewers (88-69). The odds on this game have St. Louis at +130 and Milwaukee is coming in at -155. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Dakota Hudson and Corbin Burnes.

As a team, the St. Louis Cardinals are knocking in 4.4 runs per game, which puts them at 18th in the league. They have notched a total of 696 runs and hold an OBP of .325. The Cardinals have recorded 251 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 207 balls out of the stadium. They have 675 RBI's in addition to 1,334 hits this year, while their batting average comes in at .249. St. Louis has a slugging rate of .417 and have been called out on strikes 1,295 times, while taking a walk on 549 occasions.

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The Cardinals are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.75 this year (24th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,174 batters. Cardinals pitchers have surrendered 170 long balls in addition to 795 runs in total (23rd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 518 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.41 as a unit on the campaign. St. Louis has conceded 1,494 base hits (9.7 per 9 innings) as well as 731 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.27 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.45.

The Cardinals relief pitchers have a save rate of 55.6% and has entered the game in 153 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 262 base runners this season with 31.3% of those players ended up scoring. Cardinals bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 166 times as well as having 160 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cardinals have sent 468 relievers to the mound this year. The relievers have notched 88 holds on the campaign (11th in baseball). They have recorded 35 saves so far this season and have blown 28 out of their 63 save chances.

The St. Louis Cardinals have earned a total of 4,156 putouts this season, in addition to 1,561 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .989 which ranks 3rd in baseball, and they have twisted 148 double plays. The Cardinals have converted 67.1% of balls in play into outs out of 12,468 innings on the field, which has them ranked 29th in MLB.

Hudson has taken the ball for 465 innings and has accumulated 312 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Hudson (38-19 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.64 while he has faced 1,988 opposing batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.83 (198 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.383. He has allowed 432 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 212 walks.

The Brewers have a slugging percentage of .385 and they average 4.51 runs per contest (17th in the league). They have 244 doubles, while getting a free base 569 times and scoring 708 runs. Milwaukee has tallied 162 home runs on the year to go along with 677 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,370 instances (13th in MLB) and have totaled 1,250 hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have accounted for a team OBP of .318 and a team batting average of .239 so far this year.

The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.184 in addition to having a FIP of 4.23 as a pitching staff so far this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.90 (1,378 strikeouts against 474 bases on balls). They are sitting at 1st in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,180. They have conceded 193 dingers and they yield 4.07 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league). The Milwaukee pitching staff have surrendered 632 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.75 (582 earned runs allowed).

Milwaukee has had relievers enter the contest in 68 save chances and they have converted 44 saves. They sit at 10th in the league with a save rate of 64.7%, and they have sent 502 relievers to the mound this season. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 170 times in high leverage situations in addition to 118 occasions with runners on base. Milwaukee relievers have an inherited score rate of 31.5% out of their 162 inherited base runners. With 168 save situations, the Brewers have compiled 99 holds and also 24 blown saves.

In 12,573 innings on the field, the Brewers hold a defensive efficiency of 71.9% (1st in baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 112 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in professional baseball). The Brewers have racked up 1,370 assists, 75 errors and have notched a total of 4,191 putouts so far this season.

Burnes (45-27 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.28 ERA and has conceded 6.9 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 4.22 and he has faced 2,847 batters during his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 257 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.052 and having a FIP of 3.1. During his MLB career, Burnes has allowed 537 base hits while accumulating 866 K's in 705 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-155)

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