St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/27/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Wednesday, September 27, 2023

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+140) Milwaukee (-166)

The St. Louis Cardinals (68-88) are hitting the road to American Family Field on Wednesday where they will play the Milwaukee Brewers (88-68). The moneyline on this matchup has the Cardinals at +140 and the Brewers are sitting at -166. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Miles Mikolas and Wade Miley.

St. Louis is slugging .418 and have been called out on strikes 1,284 times, while taking a walk on 545 occasions. They have amassed 671 RBI's and 1,329 base knocks over the course of the season, and their average at the plate is at .250. The Cardinals have earned 250 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 206 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 692 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .325. As a team, the St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 4.4 runs per game, which ranks them 18th in the league.

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The Cardinals hold a team ERA of 4.77 for the year (24th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,165 batters. Cardinals pitchers have given up 170 home runs and 794 runs in total (24th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 516 opposing players and their FIP is 4.43 as a team this year. St. Louis has given up 1,489 hits (9.7 per 9 innings) as well as 730 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.26 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.46.

The Cardinals have sent 466 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 262 base runners on the campaign with 31.3% of them ended up scoring. They have tallied 34 saves for the season and have not converted 28 of 62 chances to get a save. The Cardinals relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 54.8% and has entered the game in 151 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 87 holds on the campaign (12th in baseball). Cardinals relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 166 times and also have had 160 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cardinals have converted 67.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,387 innings, which has them ranked 30th in MLB. The St. Louis Cardinals are sitting with 4,129 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,554 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .989 which ranks 3rd in MLB, and have earned 148 double plays.

Mikolas (52-53 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.05 while facing 3,774 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 902 base hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has 182 walks. His earned run average is 3.95 (400 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.191. Mikolas has pitched in 910 innings and is sitting with 658 punch outs during his pro baseball career.

Milwaukee has tallied 162 home runs so far this season as well as 676 runs batted in. They have hit 242 two-baggers, while walking 567 times and putting up 707 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers hold an on-base percentage of .319 as well as a team batting average of .240 so far this season. The Brewers hold a slugging % of .386 and they average 4.53 runs per contest (17th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,361 occasions (13th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,245 base hits.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have conceded 628 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.75 (578 earned runs conceded). They have given up 192 HR's and they concede 4.07 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league). The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.185 and have a FIP of 4.23 as a staff this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (1,367 strikeouts vs 470 walks). They come in at 1st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,175.

Sitting with 168 save situations, the Brewers have 99 holds and 24 blown saves. Milwaukee has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 68 save opportunities and they have walked away with 44 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 170 times in high leverage situations in addition to 117 occasions with base runners. Milwaukee relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.7% out of their 161 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 11th in the league with a save percentage of 64.7%, and they have sent 498 relief pitchers onto the diamond this season.

Out of their 12,492 innings on the diamond, the Brewers have a efficiency on defense of 71.9% (1st in pro baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 110 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in the majors). The Brewers have accrued 1,364 assists, 74 errors and have earned a total of 4,164 putouts this year.

Thus far in his career, Miley has conceded 1,756 hits while he has tallied 1,357 strikeouts in 1,733 innings pitched. He has allowed 783 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.359 and a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.26 and he has gone up against 7,414 batters during his pro baseball career. Miley (108-98 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.07 ERA while allowing 9.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Louis (+140)

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