St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins

Date: Tuesday, July 4, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+140) Miami (-165)

The St. Louis Cardinals (35-48) are en route to loanDepot park on Tuesday where they will play the Miami Marlins (48-37). The odds on this game have St. Louis at +140 while Miami is opening at -165. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Adam Wainwright and Jesus Luzardo.

St. Louis is slugging .424 and have been called out on strikes 683 times, while drawing a walk on 284 occasions. They have compiled 370 runs batted in in addition to 711 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .252. The Cardinals have earned 133 doubles as a squad and have hit 113 balls out of the park. They have 383 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .326. As a team, the St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 4.6 runs per outing, which puts them at 12th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.31 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.46. Cardinals pitchers have surrendered 82 long balls and also 407 runs in total (24th in the league). St. Louis has given up 781 base hits (9.6 per 9 innings) as well as 368 earned runs. The Cardinals have an earned run average of 4.52 on the year (24th in the league), and their staff has struck out 670 batters. They have walked 290 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.24 as a squad this year.

The Cardinals have dispatched 249 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 150 runners on the season and 26.0% of those players crossed home plate. They have compiled 20 saves on the season and have missed out on 16 of 36 save opportunities. The Cardinals relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 55.6% and has entered the game in 78 save situations. The relievers have recorded 42 holds for the season (21st in baseball). Cardinals bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 93 times in addition to having 93 appearances in high leverage situations.

The St. Louis Cardinals have notched a total of 2,196 putouts on the campaign, as well as 787 assists and 32 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .989 which has them ranked 3rd in MLB, and they have twisted 77 double plays. The Cardinals have converted 66.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,588 innings on the field, ranking them 30th in pro baseball.

Wainwright has thrown 2,615 innings and is sitting with 2,172 K's in his career. Wainwright (198-120 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.48 and he has faced 10,866 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.45 (1,004 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.229. He has allowed 2,503 base hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 712 walks.

The Miami Marlins have an OBP of .319 and a batting average of .260 so far this year. They have struck out on 693 occasions (20th in MLB) and have 748 base hits. Miami has compiled 79 home runs this season as well as 323 RBIs. The Marlins hold a slugging percentage of .395 and they are earning 4.01 runs per outing (27th in MLB). They have notched 128 doubles, while walking 233 times and scoring 341 runs.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.257 and have a FIP of 3.90 as a squad so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.50 (796 strikeouts against 259 walks). They come in at 13th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 690. They have surrendered 91 home runs and they allow 4.33 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Miami pitching staff have relinquished 363 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.08 (342 earned runs relinquished).

With 96 save situations, the Marlins have accrued 57 holds and also 13 blown saves. Miami has had relievers take the mound in 39 save chances and they have walked away with 26 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 110 times in high leverage situations and also on 88 occasions with runners on. Miami bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 28.7% out of 129 inherited base runners. They are ranked 11th in the league holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 291 relievers to the mound this year.

Out of their 6,801 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (20th in the majors). The Miami Marlins have gotten 73 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in professional baseball). The Marlins have recorded 752 assists, 49 errors and have a tally of 2,267 putouts on the season.

So far in his MLB career, Luzardo has conceded 326 hits and he has 405 strikeouts in 363 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 174 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.246 and having a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 3.19 and he has faced 1,526 batters during his MLB career. Luzardo (19-23 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.31 ERA and has allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take St. Louis (+140)

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