St. Louis Cardinals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/13/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, May 13, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+115) Boston (-135)

Fenway Park is the site where the Boston Red Sox (22-16) will try to beat the St. Louis Cardinals (13-25) on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has the Cardinals at +115 while the Red Sox are at -135. The total is set at 9.5. The starting pitchers will be Steven Matz and Chris Sale.

The Cardinals have hit 67 two-baggers as a team and have hit 45 balls out of the park. St. Louis has a slugging percentage of .418 and have been called out on strikes 309 times, while being walked on 128 occasions. As a team, the St. Louis Cardinals are putting up 4.5 runs per game, which puts them at 13th in MLB. They have 165 RBI's as well as 338 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .258. They have accumulated 169 runs scored and have an OBP of .328.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.39 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.49. Cardinals pitchers have conceded 45 long balls and 190 total runs (25th in the league). St. Louis has conceded 357 base hits (9.6 per 9 innings) as well as 172 earned runs. The Cardinals have compiled a team ERA of 4.64 for the season (21st in the league), and the staff has struck out 332 hitters. They have walked 139 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.44 as a team for the season.

The Cardinals relievers have compiled a save rate of 37.5% and has entered the game in 32 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 81 runners over the course of the season with 32.1% of them ended up crossing the plate. Cardinals bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 50 times as well as having 41 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cardinals have sent 121 relievers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have earned 16 holds for the year (24th in MLB). They have compiled 6 saves so far this season and have not converted 10 of their 16 save chances.

The St. Louis Cardinals have a tally of 1,001 putouts thus far, in addition to 365 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .988 which is 12th in professional baseball, and have a total of 41 double plays. The Cardinals have turned 65.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 3,003 innings, which has them ranked 29th in the majors.

Matz has taken the hill for 814 frames and is sitting with 783 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Matz (50-55 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.35 while going up against 3,497 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.36 (395 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.331. He has allowed 836 base knocks (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 248 free passes.

Boston has accounted for 49 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 207 RBIs. They have put up 84 two-baggers, while getting a free base 127 times as well as recording 216 runs. The Boston Red Sox have accounted for a team OBP of .340 and a batting average of .269 on the campaign. The Red Sox hold a team SLG% of .448 and they tally 5.68 runs per game (3rd in the league). They have struck out on 300 instances (25th in MLB) and have a total of 351 base hits.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.343 and have a FIP of 4.57 as a unit so far this season. They have a ranking of 24th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 338. The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 194 runs this year while having an ERA of 4.89 (182 earned runs given up). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.50 (317 strikeouts against 112 free passes). They have conceded 50 homers and they surrender 5.21 runs per 9 innings (25th in the league).

Boston relievers have an inherited score percentage of 45.5% out of 22 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 27 times in high leverage situations and also on 14 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 35 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 22 holds and 2 blown saves. They sit at 1st in MLB with a save rate of 84.6%, and they have dispatched 120 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the year. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 13 save opportunities and they have recorded 11 saves.

Out of their 3,015 innings played, the Red Sox have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.0% (23rd in baseball). The Boston Red Sox have turned 30 double plays and have a fielding rate of .982 (25th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 334 assists, 24 errors and have amassed 1,005 putouts this year.

In his career, Sale has allowed 1,402 hits and he has 2,109 strikeouts in 1,713 frames. Sale (117-77 career mark) has a 3.10 earned run average while allowing 7.4 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 590 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.051 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 5.30 and he has gone up against 6,912 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-135)

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