St. Louis Cardinals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/12/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, May 12, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+115) Boston (-135)

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (22-16) will go up against the St. Louis Cardinals (13-25) on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Cardinals at +115 and the Red Sox are sitting at -135. The over/under is 9.5. The starting pitchers are Adam Wainwright and James Paxton.

St. Louis has a slugging percentage of .418 and have been rung up 309 times, while being walked on 128 occasions. They have tallied 165 runs batted in and 338 base knocks for the season, while their average at the plate comes in at .258. The Cardinals have accounted for 67 doubles as a squad and have knocked 45 balls out of the park. They have racked up 169 runs scored and hold an OBP of .328. As a unit, the St. Louis Cardinals are compiling 4.5 runs per game, which is 12th in the league.

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The Cardinals have an ERA of 4.64 so far this season (21st in the league), and the staff has struck out 332 hitters. Cardinals pitchers have relinquished 45 long balls and also 190 total runs (25th in MLB). They have walked 139 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.44 as a squad this year. St. Louis has relinquished 357 base hits (9.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 172 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.39 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.49.

The Cardinals relievers have earned a save rate of 37.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 32 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 81 runners over the course of the season with 32.1% of them ended up scoring. Cardinals relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 50 times and also have had 41 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cardinals have sent 121 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have a total of 16 holds on the season (23rd in the league). They have accumulated 6 saves for the season and have missed out on 10 of 16 save chances.

The Cardinals have converted 65.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,003 innings on the field, which has them ranked 29th in the majors. The St. Louis Cardinals have accumulated 1,001 putouts for the season, as well as 365 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding rate is at .988 which puts them in 12th in pro baseball, and have earned 41 double plays.

Wainwright (195-117 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.44 while he has faced 10,655 opposing batters in the majors. He has allowed 2,434 base hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) with 695 walks. His earned run average is 3.39 (968 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.216. Wainwright has taken the mound for 2,572 frames and has racked up 2,152 punch outs in his pro baseball career.

The Red Sox have a SLG% of .448 and they earn 5.68 runs per game (3rd in the league). They have tallied 84 doubles, while taking a walk 127 times as well as scoring 216 runs. Boston has recorded 49 home runs for the season to go along with 207 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 300 occasions (25th in MLB) and have recorded 351 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have a team on-base percentage of .340 and a team batting average of .269 so far this season.

The Boston pitching staff have given up 194 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.89 (182 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 50 homers and they allow 5.21 runs per 9 innings (25th in MLB). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.343 and have a FIP of 4.57 as a unit this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.50 (317 strikeouts against 112 free passes). They are sitting at 25th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 338.

Sitting with 35 save situations, the Red Sox have tallied 22 holds and 2 blown saves. Boston has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 13 save opportunities and they have come away with 11 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 27 times in high leverage situations and also on 14 occasions with runners on. Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 45.5% of 22 inherited base runners. They rank 1st in the league with a save rate of 84.6%, and they have sent 120 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the season.

In 3,015 innings played, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 68.0% (23rd in pro baseball). The Boston Red Sox have turned 30 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .982 (25th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 334 assists, 24 errors and have a total of 1,005 putouts so far this season.

So far in his MLB career, Paxton has allowed 684 hits while accumulating 831 K's in 754 innings pitched. Paxton (57-33 career mark) is the owner of a 3.59 earned run average and has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 301 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.212 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.60 and he has faced 3,130 hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-135)

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