St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/11/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Monday, September 11, 2023

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+120) Baltimore (-142)

The St. Louis Cardinals (63-79) are en route to Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Monday where they will take on the Baltimore Orioles (90-51). The moneyline on this matchup has the Cardinals at +120 and the Orioles are opening at -142. The betting total comes in at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Dakota Hudson and Dean Kremer.

As a unit, the St. Louis Cardinals are earning 4.6 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have 654 runs scored and have an OBP of .329. The Cardinals have accumulated 235 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 196 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 633 RBI's and 1,234 hits so far this year, and their average at the plate comes in at .254. St. Louis owns a slugging percentage of .428 and have been rung up 1,182 times, while taking a walk on 489 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.35 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.45. Cardinals pitchers have given up 151 home runs in addition to 719 runs in total (23rd in baseball). St. Louis has conceded 1,354 hits (9.7 per 9 innings) and also 658 earned runs. The Cardinals have compiled a team earned run average of 4.73 for the season (24th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,079 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 460 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.35 as a squad so far this year.

The Cardinals bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 53.6% and has entered the game in 134 save situations. The relievers have inherited 243 base runners this year and 30.5% of those runners earned a run for their team. Cardinals relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 152 times and also have had 146 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cardinals have dispatched 421 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relievers have earned 76 holds on the season (14th in the league). They have compiled 30 saves for the season and have blown 26 of their 56 save chances.

The Cardinals have turned 67.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 11,271 innings, which ranks them 30th in professional baseball. The St. Louis Cardinals have accounted for 3,757 putouts thus far, as well as 1,392 assists and 55 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .989 which puts them in 2nd in baseball, and they have twisted 127 double plays.

Hudson has thrown 894 innings and has earned 650 strikeouts so far in his career. Hudson (52-50 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 4.01 and he has faced 3,701 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.88 (385 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.183. He has allowed 878 base knocks (8.8 hits per nine innings) with 180 walks.

The Orioles hold a team slugging % of .430 and they are recording 5.14 runs per contest (6th in MLB). They have tallied 274 two-baggers, while getting a free base 446 times and earning 725 runs. Baltimore has 168 home runs for the year and 702 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,166 occasions (21st in baseball) and have recorded 1,244 hits. The Baltimore Orioles have earned a team OBP of .324 and a team batting average of .259 for the year.

The Orioles are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.265 and have a FIP of 4.00 as a staff so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.10 (1,274 strikeouts against 418 free passes). They are currently ranked 16th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,184. They have allowed 159 home runs and they relinquish 4.29 runs per 9 innings (8th in MLB). The Baltimore pitching staff have allowed 603 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.05 (570 earned runs relinquished).

Baltimore has had relievers step onto the hill in 72 save opportunities and they have come away with 44 saves. They are ranked 18th in baseball holding a save percentage of 61.1%, and they have sent 484 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 181 times in high leverage situations in addition to 167 occasions with base runners. Baltimore relievers have an inherited score rate of 34.8% of 244 inherited runners. With 172 save situations, the Orioles have 97 holds and also 28 blown saves.

The Baltimore Orioles have turned 126 double plays and have a fielding rate of .989 (4th in professional baseball). The Orioles have accrued 1,244 assists, 55 errors and have earned a total of 3,798 putouts so far this season. In their 11,394 innings on the diamond, the Orioles are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (16th in pro baseball).

Kremer (13-16 career mark) has a 3.94 earned run average and has surrendered 9.8 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.58 and he has faced 845 batters in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 85 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.425 and a FIP of 3.9. During his pro baseball career, Kremer has conceded 212 hits while accumulating 168 punch outs in 194 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Louis (+120)

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