St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/7/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Thursday, September 7, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+225) Atlanta (-278)

The Atlanta Braves (90-47) are hosting the St. Louis Cardinals (60-78) at Truist Park on Thursday. The odds on this game have St. Louis at +225 while Atlanta is priced at -278. The over/under is 10.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Adam Wainwright and Max Fried.

The Cardinals have hit 228 doubles as a squad and have knocked 190 balls out of the park. St. Louis has a slugging percentage of .428 and have been rung up 1,149 times, while drawing a walk on 471 occasions. As a team, the St. Louis Cardinals are recording 4.5 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have accrued 605 runs batted in as well as 1,195 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average is .254. They are sitting with 625 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .328.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.37 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.45. Cardinals pitchers have relinquished 142 home runs and also 698 total runs (23rd in MLB). St. Louis has allowed 1,318 base hits (9.7 per 9 innings) and 637 earned runs. The Cardinals have compiled a team ERA of 4.71 so far this year (24th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,051 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 444 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.28 as a squad so far this season.

The Cardinals relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 52.7% and has entered the game in 125 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 236 base runners so far this season and 30.1% of those runners ended up scoring. Cardinals bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 148 times and also have had 140 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cardinals have dispatched 406 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relievers have notched 69 holds on the season (19th in baseball). They have earned 29 saves on the year and have blown 26 of their 55 save opportunities.

The St. Louis Cardinals have a total of 3,652 putouts on the year, as well as 1,347 assists and 55 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .989 which ranks 4th in baseball, and have a total of 123 double plays. The Cardinals have turned 66.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 10,956 innings on the field, which ranks them 30th in the majors.

Wainwright has taken the ball for 2,650 innings and is sitting with 2,192 punch outs in his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.53 (1,039 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.240. He has surrendered 2,558 base hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 728 walks. Wainwright (198-127 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.52 while going up against 11,038 hitters in the major leagues.

The Braves have a team slugging % of .501 and they average 5.80 runs per contest (1st in the league). They have hit 239 doubles, while walking 461 times and scoring 795 runs. Atlanta is sitting with 263 long balls on the season as well as 768 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,093 instances (25th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,293 hits. The Atlanta Braves have accounted for a team OBP of .344 and a team batting average of .275 on the year.

The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 560 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 3.83 (517 earned runs given up). They have given up 145 dingers and they allow 4.14 runs per 9 innings (5th in MLB). The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.265 and have a FIP of 3.93 as a unit this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.50 (1,288 strikeouts vs 439 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 4th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,099.

Sitting with 152 save situations, the Braves have accumulated 87 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. Atlanta has had relief pitchers take the mound in 64 save chances and they have earned 44 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 148 times in high leverage situations and on 110 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 30.5% of 164 inherited runners. They sit at 6th in MLB with a save rate of 68.8%, and they have dispatched 449 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this season.

Out of their 10,944 innings played, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (18th in baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 117 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in the majors). The Braves have 1,122 assists, 70 errors and have a tally of 3,648 putouts on the campaign.

During his career, Fried has conceded 624 base knocks while tallying 680 strikeouts in 693 frames. Fried (60-26 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.04 earned run average while allowing 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 234 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.166 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.70 and he has faced 2,833 batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Atlanta (-278) and under 10.5 runs

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